Tuesday, 25 August 2015 00:00

Dynasty prospect: Ezekiel Elliott

The running back position requires an athlete to possess several traits for success. One of the crucial ones is competitive drive. The ability to initiate contact with defenders typically much bigger in size, keep your feet churning to break tackles and extend plays is key to turning a five yard gain into eight yards. This trait is even more crucial in short yardage situations where your team needs a few inches on the goal line for a touchdown or first down. One of the most promising prospects in this area is Ohio State junior Ezekiel Elliott, a running back that also possesses the athleticism and durability needed to excel at the pro level.

Elliott was unveiled as the Buckeyes feature back for the first time in 2014, replacing current 49er Carlos Hyde. He flourished in coach Urban Meyer's revamped offense, a scheme that was a departure from his spread days in Florida. The attack focused more on inside zone blocking plays and power runs up the middle. While many hear 'zone blocking' and immediately equate it with running backs avoiding contact and seeking consistent three-to-four yard gains, that wasn't the case with Elliot. He was a physical runner that used his strength after contact to wear down defenses and eventually break big gains in the later stages of the game.

What he did  

The offense involved a lot of cutting off the center up the middle, and Elliot proved very good at this up-the-gut style of running. The sophomore ended up rushing for 1,878 yards, a number that trailed only Melvin Gordon and Tevin Coleman. Elliot finished the season with 20 rushing touchdowns and also added 28 catches for 220 yards (7.9 yards per catch average). He was Top 5 in several rushing categories for the Big Ten, including rushing attempts, rushing yards, touchdowns, and plays from scrimmage.

When looking at Elliott, he's got several characteristics that make him a potentially good runner at the pro level.

Biggest strengths: Functional strength, competitive toughness, finishes runs after contact, mental toughness, vision

Biggest weaknesses: Pass blocking, home run speed, elusiveness

What kind of player is he

At 6'1, Elliott is a little taller than your average running back and has a thick frame at 225 lbs, giving him an NFL-like weight despite being only a junior in college. He shows good quickness when diagnosing a play both physically and mentally, and has the agility to cut off center and between the tackles. His balance is very good and allows him to continue running downhill after contact. A hard-nose runner, Elliot saw his most successful runs come in between the tackle and tight end on inside zone plays with the Buckeyes.

A typical Elliot run

He shows good burst getting to the line of scrimmage with good lateral quickness to cut off inside blocks. He's patient when waiting for his blocks to set up and cuts up field decisively and without losing speed. He has the vision to run off blocks at the second level and stands a good chance to break off a big run if he sheds a tackle or two.

He also has the speed to beat defenders to the edge and get up field. His transition from a 45 degree angle to north-and-south is fluid, and he maintains a good forward lean when running which keeps him from running too tall. He also keeps his feet churning after contact which allows him to pop defenders backward upon contact and gain extra yards in combination with his strength at 225lbs. He struggles when trying to run for long touchdowns as his lack of top-end speed often results in him getting tackled from behind by corners and safeties.

Context

Elliott has only managed to string together a stellar season just once, an obvious thing to write but still important considering teams will be gunning for him more in 2015. Though he'll have a sign on his back, he's already battle-tested when it comes to playing against the best teams in college. He posted four touchdowns and 246 yards rushing against Oregon in the National Championship game. He also ran for 230 yards and two touchdowns against Alabama, a team ranked fourth in points allowed (16.6) in 2014. It's important when any athlete plays his best against the toughest of defenses, and Elliot demonstrated he could do that.

He could also wear defenses down throughout a game, as his biggest runs typically came in the second half when Ohio State needed a breakthrough play to seal a victory.

Elliott accomplished all this despite playing with three different quarterbacks and capped his year off with a 246 yard performance in the National Championship game against Oregon to go along with a season-high four touchdowns. He proved he could remain durable with 273 attempts and no injuries.

Pass blocking woes

Elliott's biggest weakness is his pass blocking. He typically stands too high when engaging defenders which allows him to get driven back by pass rushers. He lacks the desire to pass block and will throw his shoulder in at times instead of squaring up the defender. He does, however, display a desire to run block and relished the opportunity to hit linebackers in the middle of the field on quarterback keepers. That will be something to take notice of if he hopes to elevate his status to potential first-round draft pick either in 2016 or 2017.

Catching the ball

Elliott can definitely make tough catches. He posted a seven catch game against Indiana and three games with at least four receptions. He's not expected to catch the ball a ton in the Buckeyes' offense, but it's a skill he's proven to have.

What type of NFL player can he be

Overall, Elliott is a very good power runner that can move piles with his strength after contact. He has the potential to be a 1,000-yard rusher in an offense that values running the ball up the middle and with the inside zone. A team that runs the inside zone quite a bit is the Philadelphia Eagles. This offense would be ideal for a player like Elliot. He still needs to develop his pass blocking, but he has a good chance of going in the first round based on his running talent alone.

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Published in Waiver Wire

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Player: Tyler Lockett

School: Kansas State University

Position: Wide Receiver

Height: 5’10”

Weight: 182 lbs

Class: Sr.

Position Rank: 5

Over the last few seasons undersized receivers such as the Steelers Antonio Brown and the Colts T.Y. Hilton have been able to establish as premier player makers at the wide receiver position. In the 2015 NFL draft class, Kansas State wide receiver Tyler Lockett is a player that has been overlooked due to his diminutive size, but in my opinion has a chance to come in and play a major role during his rookie season. 

Strengths:

  •       Big Play Threat (14.3 YPC)
  •     Ability to make people miss after catch 
  •       Uses Quickness/Speed to be a mismatch against bigger defensive backs
  •       Very quick feet
  •       Elite Short Area Quickness
  •       Works back to football very well
  •       Versatility to line up at multiple positons within an offense
  •       Surprising ability to play above the ground (35.5” vertical)
  •       Attacks top of stem, explosive out of routes
  •       Special team capability
  •       High Character Individual

Weaknesses:

  •    Can get swallowed up by press-coverage
  •    Double-catches, and occasional drops due to small hands
  •      Lacks prototypical size
  •      Struggles with people around him

Collegiate Career

Originally rated a 3-star recruit by Rivals.com, Kansas State wide receiver Tyler Lockett surpassed all expectations on his way to becoming one of the top receivers in Kansas State history, setting 17 school records, including receptions, receiving yards, receiving touchdowns and other records previously held by Lockett’s father.

Year

Conf

G

Rec

Yds

Avg

TD

*2011

Big 12

9

18

246

13.7

3

*2012

Big 12

13

44

687

15.6

4

2013

Big 12

12

81

1262

15.6

11

2014

Big 12

13

106

1515

14.3

11

Career

   

249

3710

14.9

29


In just 9 games, it was evident that Lockett possessed special playmaking ability, averaging an astounding 35.2 yards per return. Lockett also proved to be a threat to score at any time as we was able to return two kicks back for touchdowns.

It was not until the final two seasons of Lockett’s college career that he started to get buzz as a potential NFL prospect. Over the course of his final two seasons in Manhattan Lockett finished over 180 receptions for 2,777 yards and 22 touchdown receptions. The 2,777 yards were the second highest total in college football over the last two years, trailing only Eastern Carolina's Justin Hardy (2,778). 

What impressed me most about the number Lockett was able to put up in his final two seasons was the fact he was able to produce with sub-par quarterbacks throwing him the ball. Neither of Jake Waters, Colin Klein and Daniel Sams possess the necessary skill set to be NFL quarterbacks, but still Lockett was able to produce like a premier wide receiver in college football. 

Fantasy Perspective

There is no doubt in my mind that Lockett possesses the ability to be the same caliber of playmaker at the NFL level that he was in college, but like the majority of wide receivers in football their production is tied to the quarterback production 

In terms of a skill set Lockett possesses the ability to line up at multiple positions within an offense. Equipped with lighting quick feet and aggressive playing style many draftniks feel like Lockett would be best suited in the slot in order to take advantage of his quickness on linebackers and safeties. While I do expect Lockett to make an impact in the slot I feel like Lockett's ability to make an impact down the field is being undervalued.

Over his college career Lockett averaged 14.9 yards-per-reception and showed the ability to separate against the bigger, more physical defensive backs in college football. Due to his big-play ability I expect Lockett to make an impact as a situational deep threat during his rookie season, a role that all teams are looking to fill at this time of year. 

Just because Lockett possesses 4.4 speed and averaged over 14.5 yards-per-reception does not mean that Lockett is a one trick pony at the next level. Lockett plays with an aggressive mindset, and despite less than ideal size, Lockett is not afraid to get the tough yards by going over the middle of the field. 

Going into dynasty drafts Lockett is my number 5 rated wide receiver, a ranking that slots him as a firm round 2 selection in Dynasty drafts. As far as standard leagues go Lockett may struggle to find the end zone on a consistent basis due to his minimal use in the red zone, but I do feel Lockett could reach WR3 value in PPR formats. 

Player Comparison: T.Y. Hilton

The moment I turned on the tape of Lockett I was instantly reminded of Colts wide receiver T.Y. Hilton, and looking closer at their measurables I feel even more comfortable with this projection. I turned on the tape of Kansas State wide receiver Tyler Lockett the guy that instantly came to my mind was Colts wide receiver T.Y. Hilton, and if you look at them strictly from a measuraubale standpoint they are a near spitting image. 

Tyler Lockett/T.Y. Hilton Spider Chart

As you can see by the spider graphs above Hilton and Lockett are nearly identical players from a physical standpoint. Both players stand 5'10", weighing around 183 lbs, raising some concerns that his frame cannot handle the 

The most concerning part of Lockett and Hilton's game is their tendency to drop relatively easy passes. Due to Lockett's smaller than average hands (8 3/8) I believe Lockett will deal with the occasional case of the drops at the next level. The second aspect of Lockett's game that raised some red flags in my evaluation process was his lack of consistency making contested catches. 

Despite the red flags that came up during my evaluation process I am very confident Lockett possesses all the skills necessary to be a starting wide receiver at the NFL level. While Lockett will never have the size and strength to out muscle defenders, Lockett is going to be a terror for LB's and Safeties to cover due to his explosiveness out of his routes, and ability to get free from press man-coverage. 

Draft Projection

In my opinion Tyler Lockett is the most under-appreciated wide receiver prospect in the 2015 NFL Draft. After totaling over 3,700 receving yards in his career, on his way to setting 17 school records, Lockett made himself eligible for the NFL Draft.

Lockett was invited to the Reese’s Senior Bowl and reportedly was one of the most well-rounded receivers in Mobile. Senior Bowl Director Phil Savage was one of the many to rave about Lockett's week in Mobile, as he was quoted by the Kansas City Star saying, "“I think Tyler Lockett has shown exactly what people thought of him during the season,” Savage said. “He can play in the slot, he’s very quick, he’s a return specialist as well. He’s a super-high-intangible person, so that’s going to be attractive to teams.”

Currently Lockett is my number 5 rated wide receiver for the 2014 NFL Draft due to his well-rounded game and explosive playmaking ability.

As far as his best fit at the next level I am going to break down two potential options where I feel Lockett could see playing time during his season.

  • Philadelphia:

After losing DeSean Jackson, Jeremy Maclin, and LeSean McCoy over the last two offseasons I can officially say that I have no idea what Chip Kelly's vision for this team is. They just traded former quarterback Nick Foles to the Rams in exchange for oft-injured quarterback Sam Bradford, a move that has left many people scratching there heads. While the potential is still there for the Eagles to draft Kelly's former college quarterback Marcus Mariota, the asking price may be too steep for Kelly and the Eagles regime. 

One thing is for certain, the Eagles need to add some young offensive talent to their team this offseason. Wide receiver Jordan Matthews should see a boost in production in his sophomore season, as Matthews goes into the season as the team's no. 1 option in the passing game. Other than Matthews, the only receivers that have any experience on the Eagles roster are Riley Cooper and Josh Huff, two players that combined for 63 receptions last season. 

I think Philadelphia could be the perfect fit for a guy with Lockett's skill-set. Head Coach Chip Kelly is a mastermind at getting his players in space, allowing for players to take advantage of their god-given athletic ability against favorable matchups. Lockett could step in for the Eagles and be a day 1 starter at the position in my opinion, and with his deep speed could be the replacement the team is looking for.

  • Oakland

Who is there to throw the ball to in Oakland? James Jones is no more than wide receiver depth at this point in his career, and with Andre Holmes potentially leaving via restricted free agency the Raiders could be looking to add a wide receiver or two in the draft. 

The Raiders have been said to have interest in the consensus top-3 wide receivers; DeVante Parker, Kevin White, and Amari Cooper. However, if the Raiders want to return to the glory days of yesteryear I would advise them too add talent on the defensive side of the football, rather than the splash for a wide receiver.

If the Raiders wait on a wide receiver, and draft say Leonard Williams or Randy Gregory in the first round, Lockett could be a very real possibility in round 2 or 3. Derek Carr needs a legitimate no. 1 receiving option, and while Lockett is not the big possession-type receiver that NFL teams look for, he would instantly become the Raiders most talented pass catcher. 

In 2014, no Raiders receiver other than James Jones totaled more than 70 receptions, a trend in the modern-day NFL that is unacceptable if you are going to be a contending team. With the addition of Lockett the Raiders would get a day 1 starter at the wide receiver position, giving Lockett some very intriguing fantasy potential. 

I gave Lockett second round grade in this draft, and rank him as my number 5 receiver in his draft class. While some people may believe Lockett is going to be destined for the slot due to his smaller than average build, I urge you to not sleep on him because Lockett will prove you wrong. 

Grade: Round 2

Photo Courtesy of Iumontuen Flickr Page

Published in Waiver Wire
Thursday, 19 February 2015 00:00

Dynasty draft TE Rankings tier 1: Maxx Williams

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Player: Maxx Williams

School: University of Minnesota

Position: Tight end

Height: 6'4"

Weight: 254 lbs

Class: RS Sophomore

If one fantasy football position has become hard to come by in terms of quality, it's the tight end. Last season, only three tight ends scored 10 or more touchdowns and only two had more than 1,000 receiving yards. In contrast, there were 21 wide receivers who eclipsed the 1,000-yard mark. Imagine if you held three of those 21 1,000-yard receivers in addition to the 1,000-yard tight end, you most likely had an advantage nobody else in your league had. That's why identifying good receiving tight ends are crucial to fantasy success.

When it comes to looking at dynasty options, one can look no further than rookie prospect Maxx Williams out of Minnesota. Athleticism paired with good height and reliable hands make Williams one of the top tight ends of this year's draft. He's not quite Jimmy Graham as Graham stands a freakish 6'7" and Williams looms around 6'4", but anybody who watched Williams in college knows he's a quality receiving tight end that plays more like a wideout than a blocker.

Running Golden Gophers don't hamper Williams

As a tight end that piles up yardage by the chunk, Williams averaged 16.7 yards per catch as a freshman in 2013. He finished with five touchdowns on 25 catches for 417 yards and his biggest catch went for 50 yards. He posted similar but slightly improved numbers as a sophomore, catching 36 passes for 569 yards and eight touchdowns.

It's worth noting that Williams compiled his impressive numbers despite playing on one of the most run-heavy offenses in the nation last season. Employing a read-option system that heavily emphasized the run game, The Golden Gophers ranked 121st out of 128 teams in pass attempts in 2014, opting to throw the ball just 254 times all season. On the flip side, the Golden Gophers ran the ball 599 times, which ranked 18th overall in the country. Head tailback David Cobb was the prime shareholder of those carries with 314 rushing attempts in 2014 while quarterback Mitch Leidner also got in on the act with 126 carries of his own which came mostly on keepers.

All of this led to diminished returns in the passing game. While quarterback Leidner proved an exceptional runner with 10 rushing touchdowns of his own, he often struggled in the passing game which curbed Williams' upside. His 11:8 TD-to-INT ratio was subpar and his 123.8 passer rating ranked in the bottom 50 among Division-I quarterbacks. The fact that Williams was able to finish with eight touchdowns and even scratch the surface of a 1,000 yard receiving season shows just how much the Golden Gophers valued his talent. Williams ended up leading Minnesota in all receiving categories including receptions, receiving yards and touchdowns in 2014.

Where he stands out

One of Williams' most notable catches came against Michigan, where he showed how effective he can be in traffic Watch how he sticks out one hand and still makes the grab despite his left hand being rendered useless as he tries to stave off a Michigan defender.

Another one of Williams key traits in his ability to create yardage after the catch. Watch the clip of this play against Missouri. After catching the ball well behind the line of scrimmage, Williams shakes a defender and manages to drag a defender past the first-down marker.

Williams also has football in his blood. His dad, Brian Williams, was drafted No. 18 overall by the New York Giants back in 1989. His mother was also a standout volleyball player and was widely considered the most athletic of the family. When you consider where his dad went in the draft, that's saying something.

How he will give those who draft him good fantasy value

Williams biggest asset is his size and good hands which should lend themselves to plenty of touchdowns in the red zone. He's not the most NFL ready tight end in the history of the draft as he could still stand to bulk up a little more and further develop his blocking game. Still, he has enough height to box out defenders around the goal line and also possesses the catching ability to hang on to the ball in traffic, an important trait when the things get congested inside the 20.

Final verdict

Williams is a first-round talent and will likely be the best tight end of this draft. If he lands in the right situation, there's little doubt he'll contribute to an offense right away. If he lands on a team desperate for a tight end like Atlanta or Seattle, expect him to be among one of the top rookie contributors in the passing game.

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Published in Waiver Wire
Friday, 06 February 2015 00:00

Episode 45: Potential goldmines

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On Friday's episode of Treatment, the Helpers discuss potential situations where future fantasy stars could emerge at various positions. They mention Atlanta's current hole at tight end in addition to Tennessee's questionable backfield and San Diego's inconsistency with Ryan Mathews.

Potential fantasy value situation No. 1 — TE for Atlanta Falcons

Why it's valuable:  Levine Toilolo didn't exactly make a splash in replacement of future Hall of Fame tight end Tony Gonzalez. Toilolo finished with just two touchdowns in 2014, a disappointing number considering the Falcons passed the ball 628 times which was the second most in the league behind New Orleans. This is an offense that has plenty of ball to go around, and guys like Harry Douglas and Jacquizz Rogers shouldn't be seeing nearly as many targets as they have been. Toilolo ended up seeing 54 targets, that's not good enough for this kind of offense. Overall, he established himself as more of a blocker than receiver. We've seen blocking tight ends blossom into dominant receivers before (ex: Julius Thomas in 2013) but it doesn't look like Toilolo will be following in those footsteps.

So with so much opportunity, there's some serious fantasy value to be had at the position should the Falcons sign someone. Jordan Cameron of the Cleveland Browns immediately comes to mind. Cameron set franchise records in touchdowns in 2013 when he was healthy for the first time and reportedly wants out of Cleveland. Should he leave and somehow end up on Atlanta, he would immediately catapult his value to TE1 status despite his injury-prone past.

Potential fantasy value situation No. 2 — RB for Tennessee Titans

Why it's valuable: Next up we have the backfield for the Tennessee Titans. Rookie Bishop Sankey had perhaps the best potential situation for putting up good fantasy numbers but left a lot to be desired on the stat sheet. Sankey finished with just 569 yards and two touchdowns. He also averaged a mediocre 3.7 yards per carry. Now, a lot of that had to do with the offensive line and shaky quarterback situation in Tennessee, but it still doesn't reflect well on Sankey considering he was a rookie who was given a good chunk of carries and also failed to make much noise around the goal line. 

The Titans have the No. 2 pick in the draft and although they will probably take a defensive end as most mock drafts are indicating, expect Tennessee to look at other options in the backfield if not just for insurance in case Sankey has a repeat performance of 2014.

Potential fantasy value situation No. 3 — RB for San Diego Chargers

Why it's valuable: Ryan Mathews had another injury-plagued season in 2014 and finished with 330 yards on 74 carries and three touchdowns. Mathews seems to have a good year every other year. He eclipsed the 1,000-yard plateau in years 2011 and 2013, but failed to do so in 2010, 2012 and now 2014. It seems like a good bet to draft Mathews in odd years. Either way, he's been inconsistent enough on a fringe playoff team to warrant some kind of change in the backfield. If someone ends up replacing him, whether it be a rookie or backup running back Branden Oliver or Donald Brown, be sure to weigh the options of drafting that RB over Mathews.

Potential fantasy value situation No. 4 — RB for Atlanta Falcons

Why it's valuable: We mentioned this one in our coaches shuffle podcast earlier last month but it bears repeating. Kyle Shanahan has proven to be a successful running coach and now that he's in Atlanta, expect the coordinator who made a 1,000 yard rusher out of late draft pick Alfred Morris to shake things up in the backfield. Right now, Devonta Freeman looks like the guy Atlanta will be utilizing first, but he struggled at times as a rookie and hasn't shown any sign that he can be a reliable fantasy running back as of yet. This is one situation to monitor because of Shanahan's past success and the wide open backfield in Atlanta. 

Published in Podcasts
Wednesday, 04 February 2015 00:00

Dynasty RB Rankings Tier 1.0 : Duke Johnson

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School: University of Miami

Position: RB

Height: 5'9

Weight: 194 lbs

Position Rank: Top 10

Class: Junior

Accolades: 2012 ACC Offensive Rookie of the Year, Second-team All-ACC (2012,2013), First-team All-ACC (2014)

Elusive, speedy, and great instincts. These are some of the words thrown around when you mention fantasy dynasty prospect Duke Johnson. Johnson possesses the kind of explosiveness only seen among elite running backs. It was with t

Quick start in college

As a true freshman, Johnson exploded onto the scene in his very first game with the Hurricanes against Boston College, rushing for two long touchdowns. Although he was splitting carries with teammate and future Tampa Bay Buccaneers running back Mike James, Johnson finished with 135 yards on just seven carries (19.3 yards per carry) while James tallied 54 yards on 14 carries (3.9 ypc).

But much like catching a fish on your first cast can be a bad omen, Johnson failed to eclipse the 100-yard mark for the next seven games during his 2012 freshman season. He was held in check by defenses such as Notre Dame, a team led by Heisman finalist Manti-Teo, and Florida State's stout defense that would later go on to win the National Championship in 2013.

But Johnson eventually broke out, and turned in his first real big time game against ACC rival Virginia. Johnson finished with 16 carries for 150 yards and while he didn't score a touchdown, he threw for a score off a running back toss-pass play and ended up returning a kickoff 95 yards for a touchdown. He also finished with 214 net return yards.

In 2012, Johnson led the nation in plays of 50 yards or more from scrimmage with 11.

As you can see in this video, notice how Johnson keeps the play alive by changing his field across the middle. He doesn't run violently or look to initiate a whole lot of contact, rather preferring to make defenders miss with quick lateral shifts. He whips out the stiff arm when he can, but he's not somebody who's going to run defenders over, especially at the NFL level. Overall, Johnson excels with his ability Most running to convert his vertical north/south energy to east/west almost seamlessly. That, combined with his great instincts when it comes to knowing where the defenders are on the field and exactly how his shiftiness will be applied in a way that nets him the most positive yardage is a skill only truly gifted running backs have. You throw in his receiving ability and you've got a potential fantasy juggernaut on your hands.

Strengths:

  •     Elite speed
  •     Elusive
  •     Aggressive in the open field, extends plays
  •     Natural receiver
  •     Plays big for his size, can move defenders
  •     Gets to top speed quickly
  •     Runs with purpose decisive when hitting the hole

Weaknesses:

  •      Durability
  •      Pass blocking needs improvement
  •      Small size may prevent him from being a true workhorse back
  •    Small size may also prevent him from getting goal line carries

Injury bug bites sophomore year

Johnson was on his way to a breakout season in 2013 after rushing for more than 150 yards in three of his eight starts. But against arguably the Hurricanes biggest game against Florida State, Johnson saw his season come to an end after breaking his ankle. It's worth noting he rushed for 97 yards on 23 carries (4.2 ypc) against the Seminoles, a defense that was arguably one of the best that season.

A crazy good junior season

Some of Johnson's best performances came in 2014. At that time, Miami wasn't as potent of an offensive team due to their lack of consistency at quarterback, which resulted in Johnson carrying the load. It was because of this, combined with Johnson's maturity as a player, that allowed him to compile his most successful season. Johnson totaled 1,652 rushing yards and 10 touchdowns his junior year, scoring a touchdown in 9-of-14 games. His best effort came against Virginia Tech, where he demolished the Hokies for 249 yards and a touchdown on 29 carries. It was the most ever rushing yards by an opposing player at Virginia Tech's Lane Stadium and had Johnson not left the game after twisting his ankle with 5:59 left in the fourth quarter, he might've eclipsed 300 yards.

We mentioned his receiving ability as well. Here's an example of Johnson's catching ability out of the backfield.

 

Fantasy Outlook

What team Johnson lands on will have a much bigger impact on his fantasy value than some of the other top runners like Melvin Gordon, Todd Gurley and Tevin Coleman. Johnson will thrive in an offense geared around throwing out of the backfield via screens and dump offs. It's too bad the Kansas City Chiefs are currently loaded at the running back spot with Jamaal Charles and Kniles Davis, otherwise Johnson would be an ideal fit under Andy Reid.

But that's not the only place Johnson could potentially thrive. Pass-heavy offenses like Detroit, Atlanta and Indianapolis all have competent quarterbacks and could make great use out of Johnson's receiving ability. They have a demand at the running back position which would make Johnson immediately relevant in redraft leagues. No matter where he ends up, offensive coordinators will definitely want to get him the ball in open space out of the backfield in order to maximize his talents. 

While Johnson definitely has the talent to be a three-down back, durability concerns based on his ankle injury against Florida State in 2013 coupled with his undersized frame could make him more suited in a committee style attack. It doesn't mean he can't be a valuable fantasy option, but it's likely he won't be a 25-30 carry per game guy. Even with that, he actually might be the most potent fantasy running backs in this class due to his natural catching abilities for PPR leagues, his return yardage for leagues that value return yards more and his explosive speed that will allow him to post those big 25-30 fantasy point games.

Player Comparison: LeSean McCoy

When it comes to current NFL running backs who play like Johnson, Philadelphia Eagles running back LeSean McCoy immediately comes to mind. Like McCoy, Johnson is undersized, elusive, speedy and catches ball well out of the backfield. Johnson, like McCoy, might have trouble becoming an insider runner at the NFL level due to his lack of size.

McCoy/Johnson physical comparison:

LeSean McCoy
Player Duke Johnson
5'11" Height 5'9"*
208 lbs Weight 194 lbs
65 (two seasons) No. of receptions (college) 69 (two and a half seasons)
4.5 40 yard dash X

*Listed height, keep watch for his official height/weight measurement at combine

Dynasty grade: Top 5 pick

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Published in Waiver Wire
Monday, 30 June 2014 00:00

Episode 2: Down-low on Dynasty Leagues

Goal of this podcast: To help you understand strategies for ‘dynasty leagues,’ which differ from redraft leagues in that you keep all your players at the end of the season. In addition to keeping your roster, you also have more roster spots to stash away young players while they develop.

Published in Podcasts

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