Podcasts
Episode 199: Walls of Jerick(ho)
Episode 198: Sweet streams are made of these
Episode 197: Playoffs are here
Episode 196: Finding out who we can trust
Episode 195: Back to normal
Episode 194: What's going on?
Episode 193: Buy low/sell high
Episode 192: PPR backs produce
Episode 191: We know nothing part II
Episode 190: Hunt's catch up
Episode 189: We know nothing
Episode 188: Week 1 predictions
Episode 187: Draft strategies w/Alex Ethofer
Episode 186: Who we want on our teams this season
Episode 185: Dynasty talk with Danny Fresh
Episode 184: Draft a quarterback early and lose your league?
Episode 183: Who you should draft at running back
Episode 182: Regression/bounce back quarterback candidates with Scott Sergent
Episode 181: Player profiles/rankings with Mike Tagliere of Fantasypros.com
Episode 180: High-volume wide receivers w/Jody Smith of gridironexperts.com
Episode 179: Getting an edge in daily fantasy w/Jim Sannes of Numberfire.com
Episode 178: Matt Harmon breaks down our wide receiver rankings
Episode 177: Wide receiver values w/guest Matt Harmon of TheFantasyFootballers.com
Episode 175: NFL Veterans Stock Changes Due to NFL Draft
Episode 176: Crowded backfields and improving offenses
Episode 174: Post NFL Draft Stock Watch
Episode 173: Early Fantasy Quarterback Thoughts and QB Tiers
Episode 172: How to draft rookie RBs to your fantasy team
Episode 171: 2017 Running Back Class Breakdown
Episode 170: 2017 NFL Draft talk w/guest Eliot Crist of Pro Football Focus
Episode 168: Overrated/underrated players Pt. 1
Episode 169: Overrated/underrated players Pt. 2
Episode 167: Free Agency Breakdown with Special Guest Rumford Johnny Part Two
Episode 166: Free Agency Breakdown with Special Guest Rumford Johnny
Episode 165: Latavius Murray's best situation
Episode 164: Perkins, Richard and other RBs on our radar
Episode 163: Overvalued/undervalued 2017 players w/ guest Frank the Tank (pt. 1)
Episode 162: Overvalued/undervalued 2017 players w/ guest Frank the Tank (pt. 2)
Episode 161: Jacksonville, backfields, and Joseph Addai
Episode 160: End-of-season brain droppings
Episode 159: Fantasy playoffs part 3
Episode 158: Playoffs part 2
Episode 157: Playoffs part 1
Episode 156: Giving thanks
Episode 155: Russell ramping up
Episode 154: All about the Benjamin
Episode 153: Cutler's chance
Episode 152: Midseason review
Episode 151: Doyle rules
Episode 150: A little down on Brown
Episode 149: Wide receiver weirdness
Episode 148: Charles
Episode 147: Waiver options, Week 4 lookahead
Episode 146: Cobb, Charles, and puzzling backfields
Episode 145: Waiver wire adds, Week 3 thoughts
Episode 144: Week 2 weirdness
Episode 143: Potential shootouts in Week 2
Episode 142: Lessons learned, Week 2 lookahead
Episode 141: Week 1 overreactions
Episode 140: Away team sleepers
Episode 139: Week 1 analysis
Episode 138: I like/love/hate my team
Episode 137: Some daily fantasy tournament advice
Episode 136: Planting running back flags
Episode 135: Powell's potential
Episode 134: Auction draft strategies
Episode 133: How do use defenses effectively
Episode 132: You've got Tom Brady ranked at No. 7?!
Episode 131: Taking apart the ranks
Episode 130: Jordy Nelson and other valuable Packers WRs
Episode 129: Good situations > talent part II
Episode 128: Good situations > talent
Episode 127: The boom/bust potential of the Cleveland Browns
Episode 124: The case for drafting Martellus Bennett
Episode 123: Why Hopkins is overvalued
Episode 122: Believe in your guys
Episode 120: Fantasy Football Helpers Challenge
Episode 121: Pittsburgh Steelers tight ends
Episode 119: Under-the-radar rookie RBs w/Adam Inman
Episode 118: 5 big picture rules to follow in FF
Episode 117: Wide receiver talk w/guest Matt Harmon
Episode 116: 5 early intriguing players
Episode 115: Awards and more awards
Episode 114: Championship/DFS Week 16
Episode 113: Daily Fantasy Week 15
Episode 112: Playoffs Week 1
Episode 111: Daily Fantasy Week 14
Episode 110: No Saints
Episode 109: Daily Fantasy Week 13
Epiosde: 107: Beware of Ware
Episode 106: Thanks to these players
Episode 105: Daily Fantasy Week 11 part 2
Episode 104: Daily Fantasy Week 11
Episode 103: Daily Fantasy Week 10
Episode 102: Saints defense and don't chase Mariota's stats
Episode 101: Daily Fantasy Week 9
Episode 100: Daily Fantasy Week 8
Episode 99: Where are we running?
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What I Learned in 2016. Wide Receiver Edition.
The start of 2016’s fantasy football season was ushered in by countless twitter arguments over the validity of Zero RB. Week after week, our timelines would be cluttered with statistics in support or against the strategy, even worse, there were tons of unsubstantiated opinions on either side of the argument. While pure Zero RB didn’t filter into home league draft strategy, it is clear by looking at the first-round ADP that fantasy owners put an emphasis on drafting an elite WR. With five WRs in the Top-6 picks, 2016 was destined to be the year of the WR.
Except it wasn’t.<div class="getty embed image" style="background-color:#fff;display:inline-block;font-family:'Helvetica Neue',Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;color:#a7a7a7;font-size:11px;width:100%;max-width:457px;"><div style="padding:0;margin:0;text-align:left;"><a href="http://www.gettyimages.com/detail/454857790" target="_blank" style="color:#a7a7a7;text-decoration:none;font-weight:normal !important;border:none;display:inline-block;">Embed from Getty Images</a></div><div style="overflow:hidden;position:relative;height:0;padding:129.978118% 0 0 0;width:100%;"><iframe src="//embed.gettyimages.com/embed/454857790?et=Qgyk8FeLShhBb8ccZ4QDoQ&viewMoreLink=on&sig=RFQtdrp3i6r_ICPITCfZ-rtLHEeKa0aAAmO0c4pqi4I=&caption=true" width="457" height="594" scrolling="no" frameborder="0" style="display:inline-block;position:absolute;top:0;left:0;width:100%;height:100%;margin:0;"></iframe></div><p style="margin:0;"></p></div>
WR4 DeAndre Hopkins was plagued by Brock Osweiler.
WR5 A.J. Green was injured just late enough to completely wreck your season.
WR2 Julio Jones only played 14 games, as he suffered an injury just in time for fantasy playoffs.
But should we have seen this coming? The answer is yes.
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As you can see over the past 10 years, the mean finish of WRs in the Top-12 is seven players. But in 2015 there was the most extreme outlier year since 2007. With 11 players in the Top-12 in scoring, fantasy owners who went WR heavy were awarded at unusually high rates. This WR success bled into draft strategy and created a run on WRs from 1.01.
How can we learn from this? Well, first, we can see that 2016 wasn’t exactly a down year for WRs. Antonio Brown, Jordy Nelson, Mike Evans, and Odell Beckham Jr were all drafted in the first two rounds. They may not have had historically great seasons but they were all valuable players. The six WRs that finished in the Top-12, were just a tick below the average number of WRs in the Top-12 in the past 10 years. I wouldn’t necessarily reinvent the wheel in terms of draft strategy.
The most important lesson we must take from 2016 will be to fight the hysteria that will ensue when David Johnson, Le’Veon Bell, Ezekiel Elliot come flying off the board in the first three picks of your 2017 drafts. It is a very rare occurrence for players to go back-to-back Top-3 years. In fact, no RB has done it since LaDanian Tomlinson in 2006 and 2007.<div class="getty embed image" style="background-color:#fff;display:inline-block;font-family:'Helvetica Neue',Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;color:#a7a7a7;font-size:11px;width:100%;max-width:594px;"><div style="padding:0;margin:0;text-align:left;"><a href="http://www.gettyimages.com/detail/95317093" target="_blank" style="color:#a7a7a7;text-decoration:none;font-weight:normal !important;border:none;display:inline-block;">Embed from Getty Images</a></div><div style="overflow:hidden;position:relative;height:0;padding:66.666667% 0 0 0;width:100%;"><iframe src="//embed.gettyimages.com/embed/95317093?et=PZ9wTVOpR2JbL1I3jE22wA&viewMoreLink=on&sig=K7mhHiG1aekR9w-ceNuhs9ltUcKaEv66CM6OKX6ZWJ0=&caption=true" width="594" height="396" scrolling="no" frameborder="0" style="display:inline-block;position:absolute;top:0;left:0;width:100%;height:100%;margin:0;"></iframe></div><p style="margin:0;"></p></div> History will be on your side in 2017. So hop back on the WR bandwagon and draft Odell Beckham Jr. at 1.04 in your 2017 fantasy drafts.<div class="getty embed image" style="background-color:#fff;display:inline-block;font-family:'Helvetica Neue',Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;color:#a7a7a7;font-size:11px;width:100%;max-width:594px;"><div style="padding:0;margin:0;text-align:left;"><a href="http://www.gettyimages.com/detail/630441776" target="_blank" style="color:#a7a7a7;text-decoration:none;font-weight:normal !important;border:none;display:inline-block;">Embed from Getty Images</a></div><div style="overflow:hidden;position:relative;height:0;padding:66.666667% 0 0 0;width:100%;"><iframe src="//embed.gettyimages.com/embed/630441776?et=El6DYa3ySJ989bhtlUJ6FA&viewMoreLink=on&sig=aGgB0WwpUTKgQGfWJe4_begQf9Z2oD7UgwmF9mPYiBM=&caption=true" width="594" height="396" scrolling="no" frameborder="0" style="display:inline-block;position:absolute;top:0;left:0;width:100%;height:100%;margin:0;"></iframe></div><p style="margin:0;"></p></div>