It's easy to look back at what a player once was and talk yourself into him drafting him with hopes he'll exude greatness once again. When it comes to Baltimore Ravens RB Danny Woodhead, the potential to reclaim past success is definitely intriguing. Just two seasons ago with the San Diego Chargers at the ripe age of 30, Woodhead was a PPR (points per reception) monster who piled up over 100 targets en route to 80 catches for 755 yards and six touchdowns. He finished 3rd overall in PPR scoring among running backs, behind only Devonta Freeman and Adrian Peterson. Throughout his career, Woodhead flourished when he played in all 16 games with the Chargers (a feat he only accomplished in two of four seasons with the team). In 2013, he racked up 605 yards on 76 catches and six touchdowns which ranked him 12th overall in PPR leagues. Good situations Woodhead's been blessed with prominent quarterbacks during his time in the NFL. Woodhead played along the likes of Tom Brady (2010-2012) and Philip Rivers (2013-2016), both Pro Bowl quarterbacks. Both also helped Woodhead string together several seasons of 30+ catches, with Rivers favoring Woodhead the most after targeting the…
Wednesday, 19 April 2017 00:00

Buy Low Targets, April Edition

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The NFL season may be months away but it is never too early to look for some ADPs that stick out. Each month, from April until September, I will be giving you a buy-low target at each position. I expect these players ADP to steadily move up as the season approaches. Kirk Cousins | QB12 Kirk Cousins, according to MFL ADP data (12 team, PPR, Re-Draft) is going off the board as the 12th QB. This is a guy who has finished the last two seasons as a top-10 QB. Last season, Cousins was the QB5 and averaged 20.6 FPs per game. His .48 points per dropback (PPDB) was good enough for 9th among QBs. Cousins did lose Desean Jackson and Pierre Garcon to free agency but the additions of Terrelle Pryor, Brian Quick, and a healthy Josh Doctson should, not only mitigate those loses but actually be a net improvement on overall talent. T.J. Yeldon | RB44 T.J. Yeldon is not a name that jumps off the page as a sexy draft target but RB44 in a PPR scoring system is too low. Last season, Yeldon played in 15 games and was targeted 60 times. His 50 catches were…
Now that Free Agency Frenzy has settled down these past several weeks, all fantasy football owners are eyeing the NFL Draft which will be held April 27-29 as the last true roster shakeup before OTA’s begin shortly thereafter. Of course, the total unknown for us fantasy owners is where will the well-known and most celebrated skill position players land when those 3 days are over. And this is where yours truly, the resident arm-chair GM comes in, to guide you through these series of articles that will try to surmise where the best fantasy football fit will be for those players for the upcoming season. Leonard Fournette | RB New York Jets- Drafting in the 6th spot, they can go a myriad of directions, but there’s a chance Fournette could be on their radar as part of their rebuilding plan. Matt Forte, who is 30 years old, and Bilal Powell are both essentially finesse running backs and the Jets need a power back to control the clock and be the foundation of their offense since the quarterback position is in flux going into the 2017 season. Carolina Panthers- With the recent news of Cam Newton’s surgery to repair a partially…
By: Tom Petrillo aka @tpetrillo80 Watching 50 hours a week of game film, watching all the highlight shows on the different platforms, watching all the games every week. Whether from NFL analysts or fantasy analysts this is what you're constantly bombarded with. For the first 32 years of my life, I was like everybody else in America and bought into this concept. But now I know differently. This is my story. Almost 5 years ago, I went blind due to my poor life choices and not taking care of my diabetes for a decade and a half. I knew many aspects of my life would change. I would never be able to drive again, it would be difficult for me to ever find a job, and the most difficult of all, I would never physically see any of my family and friends again. That is why I sleep a lot. When I sleep, I dream. When I dream I have visions of my family and friends. What they looked like the last time I could see them and it brings me some form of comfort. One thing I did not immediately realize is how it would drastically change how I…
Sunday, 12 March 2017 00:00

Rookie Profile: Patrick Mahomes

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Comparison: Cam Newton Best Fit: Houston Texans The Texans are an incredibly talented team, on both sides of the ball, and have one of the best coaching staffs in the league. Bill O’Brien, a proven quarterback guru, (who has won games with Brock Osweiler, Tom Savage, Brandon Weedon, T.J. Yates, Brian Hoyer and Ryan Mallett) would be the best coach to fix Mahomes’ mechanical issues and place him in a position to succeed. Mahomes is at his best when he plays freely and O’Brien would instil confidence in him, allowing him to do what he does best. Behind a solid offensive line, and in theory a solid running game, Mahomes and his huge arm could utilise one of the most explosive and dynamic receiving corps in the league with DeAndre Hopkins, second year burner Will Fuller and an all-world athlete in Braxton Miller. This Texans offense could in theory be reminiscent of an air-raid Texas Tech offense, built on big passing plays and high-flying, high-scoring offense. With all of the blue-chip pieces the Texans have in place on offense, fantasy owners everywhere would be desperate to see a situation like this happen and bring fantasy relevance back to Houston. Scouting…
 It's the middle of February and you're eagerly awaiting the NFL Combine, which signals the unofficial beginning of the new league year. But, the actual start of the new league year coincides with the start of free agency, March 9th. This is the first component of team building (the Free Agency Frenzy) with all 32 teams jockeying for position to acquire player(s) that could change their fortunes and jump-start their chances to reach the playoffs, or perhaps even a Super Bowl. The second component of team building for the 2017 season is the NFL Draft (which runs April 27th-29th) and is where most teams would want to build the core of their team through. And, there will undoubtedly be several rookies that will make a sizeable impact for their respective NFL teams this season, and ipso facto your fantasy team. Of course, the question you’re probably asking me is: “What the hell does this have to do with my fantasy football team?” My answer is: “If you give me a thousand words, I’ll gladly show you the correlation between free agency, the draft, and fantasy football.” Free Agency Free Agency is a tool that as a fantasy football owner you…
Wednesday, 15 February 2017 00:00

Perfect Match: Finding The Next Zeke, Pt. 3

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Last Year around this time draftniks began floating the idea, “What if Zeke goes to Dallas?” It was a perfect landing spot for him, great OL, veteran QB (or so we thought), and an amazing skill set that would allow him to play 3-downs from the beginning. Sure enough, that is where Zeke found himself and the rest is history. But how will that affect us in 2017? It will surely touch off a “search for the next Ezekiel Elliott.” In the final installment of Perfect Match, I will pair a major piece of shit with one of the games with one of the game’s most storied franchises. I’ll also match one of the most physically gifted TE prospects in years with a team begging for another offensive weapon and I’ll match another TE with an innovative first-time coach. Joe Mixon- I didn’t exactly bury the lede with my description of Joe Mixon. By now, we have all seen the videos of him doing a despicable act of violence. We live in a society, however, that gives second chances to talented individuals. Fortunately for Mixon, he is one of the most talented RBs in the world. At 6’1 226, Joe…
Tuesday, 07 February 2017 00:00

Perfect Match: Finding The Next Zeke, Pt. 2

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Last Year around this time draftniks began floating the idea, “What if Zeke goes to Dallas?” It was a perfect landing spot for him, great OL, veteran QB (or so we thought), and an amazing skill set that would allow him to play 3-downs from the beginning. Sure enough, that is where Zeke found himself and the rest is history. But how will that affect us in 2017? It will surely touch off a “search for the next Ezekiel Elliott.” In this week’s addition of Perfect Match, I am going to breakdown the QB that I think has the highest ceiling of any QB in the draft, a RB that has garnered more hype from ESPN than anyone not named Lebron, Steph, or Tiger, and a recently injured WR who fits in perfectly with what a new OC has done in the past. These potential landing spots would significantly increase each rookie’s value, so without further ado let’s dive in. Embed from Getty Images Pat Mahomes- Pat Mahomes is looking to do the impossible: make the jump from Air Raid QB to professional QB. For those not familiar with the Air Raid offense, it is the hyper-paced, throw first offense…
Wednesday, 01 February 2017 00:00

Why Duke Johnson's best football is still ahead of him

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Running backs adept at catching the football are often revered in fantasy football. They can turn an average fantasy scoring day into a good one, a good one into a great one, a great one into a historic one and a historic one into something you think is really, really awesome. More importantly, backs who catch the ball can alleviate the pain of a bad fantasy day on the ground, which allows the running back to become 'matchup proof.' What is 'matchup proof?' 'Matchup proof' means a running back is startable no matter who he's playing against, and one way a receiving back becomes matchup proof is by defying game script. For example, if a running back finds his team down by 30 points in the first half and his team needs to pass more to get back into the game, he'll still accrue fantasy points because he'll likely be targeted on check down passes. While receiving is a big factor in creating consistency among RBs, it's not the only trait a running back needs to possess. He also must be a talented inside runner, a back who can generate tough yards after contact with big defenders on runs up…
Tuesday, 31 January 2017 00:00

LeSean McCoy and identifying the bounce back RB

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Without sounding too philosophical, football is a lot like life. Players have good years and bad years. Some years they seem more motivated and focused while in others they're more tranquil and distracted. Sometimes they try different approaches to the game with hopes of enhancing their abilities. Eddie Lacy doing P90X workouts in the offseason to drop weight is an example of that. At the NFL level, even the slightest of changes to your attitude, approach to the game and overall situation can make a big difference. Identifying these changes can help you identify a value candidate in your fantasy draft. Take the 2016 version of Buffalo Bills running back LeSean McCoy for example. Hailed as one of the better fantasy running backs in the league during his time as a Philadelphia Eagle from 2009-2014, McCoy was a great example of how a running back can get off track due to new circumstances only to rebound in 2016. Where he was in 2015 After getting traded to the Bills in 2015, McCoy was clearly upset about departing Philadelphia. He'd grown up in the Harrisburg, Pa. after all, a place not too far from the city of Brotherly Love. Though the…
Saturday, 28 January 2017 00:00

Lesson's Learned From 2016: D/ST

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A Defense can be one of the biggest conundrums in fantasy year in and year out. People tend to go with popular Defensive choices like the Seattle Seahawks or Carolina Panthers rather early in drafts. Just because it’s Round 10 doesn’t mean choose a defense. There are still valuable players and handcuffs to acquire during the latter rounds of a draft. Going by the finishing statistics of 2016, only one defense finished in the top five as their projection at the beginning of the season. According to ESPN Scoring, Denver Broncos D/ST had an average ADP of pick 67 which is asinine and only scored 152 points in 2016. That’s mid-fifth round in 12-team leagues and mid-sixth round in 10-team leagues. Let me ask you a question would you rather have Broncos Defense or future 2016-17 MVP Matt Ryan whose ADP was pick 114. Think smart on average defenses can score you 150 to 180 points in a good year depending on your league scoring. Every other position eclipses those numbers by mid-season. Kickers score more than Defenses do on average per year, and they get chosen as flier picks in the last round of every draft. Last season, the…
Friday, 27 January 2017 00:00

Perfect Match: Finding The Next Zeke

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Last Year around this time draftniks began floating the idea, “What if Zeke goes to Dallas?” It was a perfect landing spot for him, greatOL, veteran QB (or so we thought), and an amazing skill set that would allow him to play 3-downs from the beginning. Sure enough, thatis where Zeke found himself and the rest is history. But how will that affect us in 2017? It will surely touch off a “search for the next Ezekiel Elliott.” In this first edition of Perfect Landing Spots, I’m going to be like Chris Hardwick on Singled out. Embed from Getty Images I will look at the teams and prospects that match-up perfectly. Will I find a player so perfectly matched that it will be like “Cash me ousside” girl and a trailer park, or Nic Cage in a movie that requires no acting ability? Maybe, maybe not. But I will find you the next Zeke. How bout dat? Dalvin Cook Dalvin Cook is #drafttwitters darling. His rare combination of speed and elusiveness has been on display for three years at Florida State. After his abysmal showing in the college football playoff his freshman year, Cook showed up on the biggest of…
Friday, 27 January 2017 00:00

Lessons Learned From 2016: Tight Ends

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Opportunity is a bigger factor than talent in some cases. The 2016 season was a disaster for the tight end position. According to fantasyfootballcalculator.com Rob Gronkowski and Jordan Reed were the no. 1 and 2 TEs taken in drafts. Gronk’s average draft position (ADP) was 2.02 and was taken as high as the 2nd overall pick. Injuries plagued him throughout the year and he finished as TE21 in standard scoring leagues. Reed was taken as the TE2 this season after being undrafted in 2015 but, as with Gronk, injuries limited his availability and he was just able to squeak in the top 10 TEs for the season. Drafting a tight end early is never a certainty even as we look to the 2015 season where Jimmy Graham was drafted as TE2 with an ADP of 3.08, but finished as TE17. The Top 3 tight ends for the 2016 season finished as 3 of the 6 TEs to eclipse the 100 target mark. Travis Kelce and Greg Olsen were the only tight ends to go over 1,000 yards for the year, on 85 and 80 receptions respectively. The knock on these players is the lack of touchdown production from a position…
Sunday, 22 January 2017 00:00

Lessons learned from 2016: Wide Receivers

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 Editor's note: This is Part 3 in a several part series where we dissect each offensive fantasy position and tell you what happened this season (2016) and how you can apply those lessons into your draft for next season (2017). You can check out all the lessons learned from quarterbacks, wide receivers, running backs, and tight ends throughout the offseason. The start of 2016’s fantasy football season was ushered in by countless twitter arguments over the validity of Zero RB. Week after week, our timelines would be cluttered with statistics in support or against the strategy, even worse, there were tons of unsubstantiated opinions on either side of the argument. While pure Zero RB didn’t filter into home league draft strategy, it is clear by looking at the first-round ADP that fantasy owners put an emphasis on drafting an elite WR. With five WRs in the Top-6 picks, 2016 was destined to be the year of the WR. Except it wasn’t. Embed from Getty Images WR4 DeAndre Hopkins was plagued by Brock Osweiler. WR5 A.J. Green was injured just late enough to completely wreck your season. WR2 Julio Jones only played 14 games, as he suffered an injury just in…
Thursday, 19 January 2017 00:00

Lessons learned from 2016: Running backs

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Editor's note: This is Part 3 in a several part series where we dissect each offensive fantasy position and tell you what happened this season (2016) and how you can apply those lessons into your draft for next season (2017). You can check out all the lessons learned from quarterbacks, wide receivers, running backs, and tight ends throughout the offseason. The running back position has become one of the biggest conundrums in fantasy football. It's tough to know which one to draft since injuries, snap counts and age all play a large role in deciding which one to take, and those are just a few of the factors. If you've struggled acquiring quality running backs this season, chances are you didn't draft Le'Veon Bell, David Johnson, Ezekiel Elliott, DeMarco Murray or LeSean McCoy. Those turned out to be the backs to draft this season, and we're going to look a few strategies you might've employed that prevented you from getting them. Also, we'll look at some other factors that played a large role in those successful backs seasons and how you can prepare to draft the right one next season. Strategy No. 1: You went Zero RB and it didn't…
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