×

Warning

JUser: :_load: Unable to load user with ID: 860
JUser: :_load: Unable to load user with ID: 861
JUser: :_load: Unable to load user with ID: 865
JUser: :_load: Unable to load user with ID: 862
JUser: :_load: Unable to load user with ID: 858
When it comes to drafting running backs late, you want to find a guy with upside. There's no exact science to upside. But you want a reasonably talented back who could see opportunity. You also want him in an offense that can maximize his skill set. The New England Patriots are a team that maximizes running back value as good as any in the NFL. It's also looking like they will be doing much more of that in 2019. Last season's success The Patriots ran the ball a lot more in 2018. They used a combination of James White and Sony Michel and the results were solid. Both running backs finished in the Top 25 overall. Only the Chicago Bears achieved the same feat with Tarik Cohen and Jordan Howard. In Week 4, White and Michel combined for over 40 fantasy points. The reason this worked was because Michel was the ground guy, rushing for 112 yards and a touchdown. White finished with eight catches for 68 yards and a touchdown. So he was the clear receiving back. But things got messy when Michel went down with an injury. In Week 13, backup running back James Develin sniped 2 touchdowns…
One of the most common mistakes I see people making in fantasy football is... Getting too emotional. Here's one thing you you shouldn't say when drafting a fantasy player. 'He burned me last year so I'm not drafting him this year.' This is one of the more common things I hear from fantasy players. They get salty about a guy they were really high on who didn't pan out during a particular season. For example, you're looking to draft the best quarterback possible in your fantasy draft. You immediately come across a guy like Andrew Luck. Now, Luck is one of the most talented quarterbacks in the league. But you drafted him back in 2015 and he finished as a QB27. As he comes across your draft board, your subconscious tells you... 'No, not taking him. I can't trust him.' To that I say... Woah. Slow down there. Ok, you don't want to draft Luck. I get it. But just because he burned you four years ago is not a good reason to avoid taking him this year. Ask yourself these questions about Luck for this season. — Does he have good receivers to throw to? — Is he one…
Saturday, 13 July 2019 00:00

Can Rashaad Penny outkick his ADP?

Written by
Don't get sucked into that recency bias thought pattern. You often miss out on drafting a great player when you do that. Sure, Seattle Seahawks running back Rashaad Penny burned you last season. But while you're stewing over his dismal rookie campaign, somebody else is about to draft a gem. We can call a spade a spade here. Penny is coming off a disappointing rookie season. He rushed for just 419 yards and two touchdowns. But hold the phone, Penny did a lot of things well in 2018. Plus, things are shaping for him to have a major impact in 2019. Embed from Getty Images One of the traits that sticks out about Penny is his ability to make big plays. Penny had two rushes of 30 yards or more in 2018. He also had nine rushes for over 15+ yards. Not only that, Penny got better as the season went along. After Week 4, he averaged 5.8 yards per carry and that number stuck for the rest of the season. Sure he started off slow, but many great NFL running backs plodded out of the gate. Shaun Alexander, another great Seattle back, rushed for 313 yards his rookie year.…
Drafting players who exceed their value in average draft position often separates the good teams from the truly great ones. So how do you give yourself the best chance of finding talent in the later rounds at the running back position? You have to find one that fits several categories. One guy with the potential is Tampa Bay Buccaneers running back Ronald Jones II. So what do we like about this second-year back out of USC? Steady producer in college When it comes to predicting success, there's no greater indicator than college film. Specifically consistent, strong production over several years at the Division-I level. Jones has this quality in spades. He burst onto the scene hard as a freshman at USC, averaging 6.5 yards per carry and 987 rush yards. He finished 2016 with 1,082 yards and 12 touchdowns that year. He finished strong in 2017, rushing for 1,550 yards and 19 touchdowns. And this was despite USC being a pass-heavy offense. I know it seems like an obvious strategy, but a lot of people end up reaching on an unproven back early because he has 'talent.' Sure, you're throwing some darts in the later rounds and not every player…
Todd Gurley has some issues, and people should be getting excited for rookie Darrel Henderson in 2019. ESPN's Lisa Thiry reported earlier that Todd Gurley will miss the entire preseason. While many weren't too concerned about Gurley's knee, it's definitely starting to look like there could be some issues now. If that's the case, it's important to adapt to the situation as a fantasy owner. That's why we look to the next guy up. Darrell Henderson. Why it matters for fantasy Gurley battled injury woes down the stretch last year, and he was the worst kind of fantasy player because of it. You didn't know what you were going to get with Gurley. But it was tough to bench him because he was such a stud. Also, we saw how good a backup running back can be behind the Rams potent offensive line. Running back C.J. Anderson had three games of 100+ yards in the playoffs last season, and was by the far the Rams best back in that stretch. With Anderson gone now, there's now more room in the offense for volume. Why you should be excited about Henderson's immediate fantasy potential Henderson is by far the most explosive…
The 2019 running back class didn't have a once-in-a-generation star. But many rookie running backs still have a chance to score massive amounts of fantasy points in 2019. As we know, landing spot matters a lot for running backs. And in the 2019 NFL Draft, many backs got drafted to teams in dire need of a running back. The most talented of the bunch was clearly Alabama prospect Josh Jacobs. But the question remains, is Josh Jacobs the best fantasy rookie running back to draft in 2019? The answer to that is undoubtedly yes. Don't say 'yeah but I think Miles Sanders blah blah blah or David Montgomery blah blah blah.' I know you (the reader) are saying that right now. But take off your contrarian hipster glasses, put down the Pabst Blue Ribbon, and keep on reading. Why Jacobs the better option Sure, there were plenty of other talented rookie running backs with promise. Miles Sanders went in the second round to Philadelphia, a team with a good offensive line and only an injury-riddled Jordan Howard to beat out. David Montgomery went to Chicago, which was a solid spot since there's no clear-cut starting RB on the roster. Both…
If there's one thing you must know about dominating your fantasy draft, it's this. You must extract value in the later rounds. Washington Redskins running back Derrius Guice is the kind of player you might think about taking. But his ADP is way too high according to FFCalculator. Here's why you should avoid him in re-draft this season. Why is his ADP where it is? People's confidence in Guice likely stems from two variables. For one, he's young. At just 21 years of age, he best years are ahead of him. Plus, he's got talent. He was drafted in the second round of the 2018 NFL Draft. So Washington is invested in him and wants him on the field. Both of those are true enough. But if you look closer at Washington's offensive situation, you'll see Guice is drastically overvalued at that price. Here are the main reasons Guice should be avoided in re-draft this season. No opportunity in the passing game First, you don't want to draft a guy with zero receiving floor, and Guice is that guy this year. Chris Thompson is a dynamite screen receiver who's magic in the open field. Thompson will likely see the targets…
It's time to break down some receivers you should keep on your waiver wire radar in 2019. These types receivers are so crucial to fantasy success. They're not the big time No. 1 guys, but they produce plenty of fantasy stats at the WR2 and WR3 position. And all those points add up. Some of these players might not have huge roles to start. But as we all know, things change on a dime in the NFL. Starters go down with injury. Or they get benched because they're struggling to produce. Rookies developing all offseason get their shot next, and sometimes they flourish. So you better be there to catch them while they're hot. It's important to note that these players usually start crushing it AFTER the season gets underway a bit. So don't expect most of them to start producing during Week 1. One example of this in 2018 was Atlanta Falcons rookie Calvin Ridley. Ridley took over the spot vacated by Taylor Gabriel and had monster production in Weeks 3 and 4. Catching 7 of 8 targets for 146 yards and 3 touchdowns in Week 3. Followed by 4 catches on 6 targets for 54 yards and 2…
Saturday, 09 March 2019 00:00

The state of the running game in today's NFL

Written by
Football has always been a young man's game. That notion has never been more true than at the running back position. Here, we'll show you one tip when drafting a running back to enhance your team's likelihood of success. This is a simple one. Today's NFL is all about preserving the running back. Coaches and general managers now have enough data to know a running back typically lasts 4-5 years on average before seeing a drop in production. The best backs can produce into their 30's. But these are rare cases. The constant wear and tear at the position causes RB's to get injured over time. This can hurt your fantasy team because you could draft them in one of these down years. So how do you use this to your advantage in fantasy? Simple. Go young and draft a lot of running backs in the later rounds. This will help ensure you get a fresh young back who's ready to produce. It will also give you replacement options in case your back struggles or gets injured. A quick telling stat from last season. Eight of the top 10 running backs in rushing attempts in 2018 were under 24 years…
Wednesday, 08 November 2017 00:00

Opportunity: Optimal running backs for Week 10

Written by
Editor's note: This is a continuation of our weekly running back piece we've featured throughout this season. We've made some adjustments to this week's edition. As we now know who the good running backs are, we will focus on finding the lesser known gems with good matchups. This way, you can find running backs who have a good chance to outperform value. It's now Week 10, and the running back picture (and overall fantasy picture) is just about in clear focus. This is the time where you can start predicting value a bit more accurately, as nine games is a pretty large sample size to draw reasonable conclusions from. For example, we know Le'Veon Bell, Kareem Hunt, Todd Gurley, Jordan Howard and LeSean McCoy are legit RB1s. We don't have to tell you that anymore. However, not as many people would consider Alvin Kamara an RB1, though he's second overall in running back scoring over the last three weeks. This is in standard leagues by the way, not just points per reception. Here's a look at some very good running back options for Week 10. Orleans Darkwa vs. San Francisco 49ers Why he's a decent option: The Giants veteran back…
Tuesday, 24 October 2017 00:00

Opportunity: Optimal running backs for Week 8

Written by
Editor's note: This season-long series looks to find the best opportunity to score fantasy points at the running back position. It factors targets, goal line and red zone carries, and rushing attempts. This volume probability is predicated on game script, snap counts, and overall talent of the individual player. This is Week 8 of this list. You can expect more data as the season goes along and trends emerge. Also, be sure to check out our weekly rankings for complete rankings at every position for Week 8. As we head into Week 8 and the 2017 NFL season, we've seen so many weird trends occurring throughout the year. For one, Chris Thompson is an RB1 in PPR leagues. Yes, that's right. With 109 points in PPR leagues, he ranks ahead of Jordan Howard, Carlos Hyde and Devonta Freeman. That's not something we ever could've predicted heading into this year. Not to be outdone, the rookie running backs have made a huge fantasy impression as well. Kareem Hunt and Leonard Fournette rank among the top 3 RB's in fantasy points with 135 and 114 respectively. Christian McCaffrey, Dalvin Cook and Alvin Kamara all rank within the Top 20 in standard leagues,…
Wednesday, 11 October 2017 00:00

Opportunity: Optimal running backs for Week 6

Written by
Editor's note: This season-long series looks to find the best opportunity to score fantasy points at the running back position. It factors targets, goal line and red zone carries, and rushing attempts. This volume probability is predicated on game script, snap counts, and overall talent of the individual player. This is Week 6 of this list. You can expect more data as the season goes along and trends emerge. Also, be sure to check out our weekly rankings for complete rankings at every position for Week 6. As we head into Week 6 and the 2017 NFL season, the fantasy running back picture becomes more and more clear. Backs like Leonard Fournette, Todd Gurley, Melvin Gordon, Devonta Freeman, Le'Veon Bell have all established themselves as clear RB1's. This is also the time of year when injuries crop up and younger backs get their chance. We saw that with Aaron Jones in Green Bay, Elijah McGuire in New York and Matt Breida in San Francisco. This is the time where managing your waiver wire is crucial, as the changing of the guard between starters and second-string running backs can often lead to a new fantasy front runner for the remainder of…
Editor's note: This season-long series looks to find the best opportunity to score fantasy points at the running back position. It factors targets, goal line and red zone carries, and rushing attempts. This volume probability is predicated on game script, snap counts, and overall talent of the individual player. This is Week 5 of this list. You can expect more data as the season goes along and trends emerge. Also, be sure to check out our weekly rankings for complete rankings at every position for Week 5. Each of the top six running backs from Week 4 had at least four receptions. That should tell you all you need to know about the hybrid running back's potency in fantasy football. It was also a quiet week scoring wise, with only Le'Veon Bell rushing for more than one touchdown. With the exception of Green Bay and Dallas, we could be seeing low numbers once again in Week 5 as high-powered offenses such as Atlanta, New Orleans, and Washington are on a bye. Here's a look at every fantasy relevant running back for Week 5. Los Angeles Chargers at New York Giants Total points expected: 44 (Giants favored by 4) Los Angeles…
Stop guessing and start winning. Numberfire.com. Use the promo code 'FFHelpers' and receive your first month subscription for $9.99. Editor's note: This season-long series looks to find the best opportunity to score fantasy points at the running back position. It factors targets, goal line and red zone carries, and rushing attempts. This volume probability is predicated on game script, snap counts, and overall talent of the individual player. This is Week 4 of this list. You can expect more data as the season goes along and trends emerge. Also, be sure to check out our weekly rankings for complete rankings at every position for Week 4. Week 3 was weird. Several surefire players ended up tanking, including Jay Ajayi and Marshawn Lynch. But while the NFL may seem unpredictable right now, keep in mind these are the often the times when things swing back to reality. For example, Ajayi is still going to get a ton of volume and be a menace going forward. Marshawn Lynch might lack a high ceiling but he's just being preserved so Oakland can use him when they need to cement a playoff spot down the stretch. LeSean McCoy should still be fired up this…
Editor's note: This season-long series looks to find the best opportunity to score fantasy points at the running back position. It factors targets, goal line and red zone carries, and rushing attempts. This volume probability is predicated on game script, snap counts, and overall talent of the individual player. This is Week 3 of this list. You can expect more data as the season goes along and trends emerge. Also, be sure to check out our weekly rankings for complete rankings at every position for Week 3. Week 2 has come and gone and while the overall picture is still cloudy, some small trends are starting to emerge in the fantasy football world. For one, Kansas City running back Kareem Hunt has been on a whole different level than any other running back. Hunt's 71 fantasy points through two weeks dwarfs the next highest running back, which is Ty Montgomery at 48.3. To put it in perspective, the highest fantasy scoring running back through two weeks in 2016 was DeAngelo Williams with 48. Todd Gurley continues to look more like the rookie who dominated for over 1,000 rush yards during his rookie season. Through two weeks, Gurley has finished as…
Page 1 of 3

Weekly Rankings

Latest Tweets

 


About Us

We believe Fantasy Football success comes down to two things — opportunity and talent. You will have Fantasy Football mastered once you understand how good a player is and how good of an opportunity he has to gain yards and score touchdowns. The thing is, you'll never master Fantasy Football. But you can get pretty darn good at it when you have even a slightly better understanding of opportunity and talent than the average Joe. That's what Fantasy Football Helpers is dedicated to doing.

Contact Us

We'd love to hear from you. Feel free to email George Banko