Monday, 11 August 2014 00:00

Episode 8: You Down With ADP?

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Goal of this podcast: To give you our top ADP (average draft position) value picks plus rank each position’s level of importance for your fantasy draft

The podcast begins with both Scott and George discussing the different fantasy positions (yes we know, sounds like innuendo).

Scott’s take on which position is most important, QB, RB, WR, TE, K, or DEF?

The most critical one, even more so this year, is the running back position. After LeSean McCoy, Jamaal Chares and Adrian Peterson, every other running back has question marks. Arian Foster is coming back from an injury-plagued season in 2012 and is currently dealing with an ‘undisclosed injury.’ Marshawn Lynch recently ended a holdout and has a talented young guy in Christine Michael ready to establish himself more in the offense. Matt Forte is consistent but lacks big-time touchdown numbers. Zac Stacy entered the picture last year as a reliable running back with the Rams but has yet to play a full season. Alfred Morris struggled to score touchdowns as well thanks to Mike Shanahan’s anti-fantasy offense which involved giving the ball to Roy Helu on the goal line as much as possible. 

George’s response 

One thing to point out with Arian Foster’s injury, and injuries in general for that matter is to not freak out too much. This goes especially if the injury description is very vague like Foster’s ‘undisclosed injury.’ Not saying you shouldn’t take a look at Foster’s backup (in this case Andre Brown), but you shouldn’t drop Foster off your radar entirely. 

Scott’s quarterback philosophy

There’s a ton of depth this season. Tony Romo can put up numbers that can get you to a championship and he’s still available anywhere between the 7-10-round range. Matthew Stafford is a deep round quarterback as well and has a talented group of receivers in Detroit and a new coach who emphasizes quarterback mechanics. Ben Roethlisberger is a good one, as is Andy Dalton. 

George’s Response 

Another great thing about those late-round quarterbacks is their supporting cast. You can go down the line of each one and every QB has a dynamite receiver. Romo (Dez Bryant), Matthew Stafford (Calvin Johnson), Andy Dalton (A.J. Green) and even Roethlisberger (Antonio Brown). That’s a bit of a stretch on Brown considering he differs from the other receivers mentioned in that he’s a volume receiver who requires a lot of targets to put up big yardage numbers. Still, those guys are available in the later rounds and have just as much potential as the earlier round guys. 

Scott’s sequence of position philosophy

Everybody likes to have a pre-draft strategy going in. An example being, ‘I’m going to take a running back first, then a wide receiver, then another running back.’ It’s good to have some type of idea going in, but don’t let your pre-draft strategy tie you down. You must adjust to the mood of the draft. 

George’s response 

And no draft is perfect. The best spot to be weak when your draft is all over is wide receiver, and this is due to several reasons. One, it’s easy to find quality wide receivers on the waiver wire since there are always players coming out of the woodwork. Some lesser known wide receivers suddenly find themselves with more prominent roles in the offense (Patriots wide receiver Julian Edelman is a good example of this from last year). Also, injuries happen.

Scott’s draft success philosophy 

When all is said and done, it won’t be your first three or four picks that win you your league. It’s your mid-to-late round draft picks. If you can land one or two players in the later rounds that go on to perform near the top of their position (example from 2013: Jordan Cameron at tight end) then you’ll have something not a lot of other teams will have. 

George’s response

I’m really glad you brought that up. Because I have a few guys who I have listed below that are great value picks this year and could be the difference in a good team vs. a great team. Here they are:

  • Keenan Allen (14th best wide receiver)
  • C.J. Spiller (17th best running back) 
  • Vernon Davis (4th best tight end)
  • Jeremy Maclin (27th best wide receiver)
Last modified on Friday, 15 August 2014 03:01
George Banko

George Banko started talking about fantasy football shortly after graduating college. He started as an intern at FFChamps.com before working as a staff writer for Fantasy Knuckleheads. He currently contributes to the Fantasy Hot Read podcast, which is available on itunes. He also educated himself on player evaluation and is a graduate of The Scouting Academy in 2015, which is an online course run by former NFL Scout Dan Hatman. He started Fantasy Football Helpers as a blog in 2011 and converted it to a full-scale website in 2014. Read more.

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We believe Fantasy Football success comes down to two things — opportunity and talent. You will have Fantasy Football mastered once you understand how good a player is and how good of an opportunity he has to gain yards and score touchdowns. The thing is, you'll never master Fantasy Football. But you can get pretty darn good at it when you have even a slightly better understanding of opportunity and talent than the average Joe. That's what Fantasy Football Helpers is dedicated to doing.

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