Friday, 01 January 2016 00:00

Episode 115: Awards and more awards

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Episode 115: Awards and more awards Cliff/Flickr

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On Friday's podcast, the Helpers dole out their annual 2015 Fantasy Football awards including best waiver addition at the QB, RB, WR, TE and DEF positions. Plus biggest busts, best playoff performers and more.

What we learned

RBs are more inconsistent and injury prone than ever. WRs on the other hand were astoundingly consistent when it came to predictability. Drafting RBs going forward is going become more of a throw a bunch at the wall and see which one sticks. Draft one stud in the early rounds, have their backup ready to go if the top guy gets hurt (DeAngelo Williams) and draft a lot of them in the later rounds. Also pay attention to their volume and coaching scheme and how they fit into that (Devonta Freeman). Be willing to sacrifice some consistency in the beginning.

Veteran QBs and young QBs can be equally valuable: We saw how Blake Bortles, Kirk Cousins performed at a top 10 level while Tom Brady, Carson Palmer and Ryan Fitzpatrick all put together QB1 seasons. I think there's also something to be said about getting a starting QB who's clearly 'the guy.' We saw that with Cousins when RG3 was benched in preseason, we saw it with Fitzpatrick when Geno Smith had the weird locker room punch incident, we saw it with Carson Palmer and how valuable he has been in the Cardinals offense. So I'm looking for a QB who has the trust in the coach and his teammates as much as anything. That will trickle down to the WRs as well.

MVP

QB Cam Newton — Average QB1 score was 27.2 this year. Newton finished with 45 total touchdowns combined rushing and receiving, 3,837 passing yards, 636 rushing yards. Most leagues rushing yards count 10 yards per point where passing yards only factor in for 25 yards per point. Newton is clearly the best, 3 games of 5 touchdowns.

LVP

RB C.J. Anderson — I based my LVP on Average Draft Position vs. actual production and excluded backs that got hurt and Anderson was the top guy in this category. Average draft position of No. 10 overall. Finished with 750 rushing yards and 5 touchdowns but more importantly, 183 receiving yards on 25 catches and zero receiving touchdowns. As a RB1, you need to be able to post quality receiving numbers and Anderson failed to do that. There were several variables such as the QB situation and offensive line injuries that contributed, but overall Anderson really fell off after he closed so strongly a year before.

Sleeper star

RB DeAngelo Williams — A lot of people considered him a nice handcuff to Le'Veon Bell that would help hold you over until Bell returned from a two-game suspension, but Williams looked like a rejuvenated version of his old Panther self. Finished with 11 rushing scores on 907 rush yards and 367 receiving yards on 43 catches. Finished as a Top 5 RB in standard league rules and started off as just a handcuff. 

Rookie phenom

RB David Johnson — Todd Gurley the obvious choice but Johnson wasn't too far behind him after closing out the season with double digit fantasy points in four out of his last five games including a monster performance against Philadelphia where he rushed for 3 touchdowns and 187 yards. Gurley had a lot of great games but he never had an individual fantasy performance on that level.

Mr. inconsistent

RB Eddie Lacy — This was obvious to me. Started off the year with bang rushing for 85 yards and a touchdown against Chicago, then tossed up a zero the following week. In Weeks 11 and 12, he rushed for over 100 yards in both games. In Week 13, he had 4 yards on 3 carries. In Week 14, over 100 yards and a score against Dallas. In Week 15, 11 carries for 23 yards. So if you had Lacy in the playoffs, his inconsistency likely hurt you or cost you a key victory.

Biggest hits

RB Jonathan Stewart — 989 yards, 6 touchdowns, 99 receiving yards and 1 touchdown for 139 fantasy points. I was touting his value as a good RB2 behind an offense that would be much improved after seeing that offensive line improve last season, the defense get healthier and Cam Newton not getting in a car accident. There were some things that were coming together for Carolina and if you drafted Stewart, you got pretty good bang for your buck. He was extremely reliable, from Weeks 6-13 he averaged at least 20 carries up until he got hurt in Week 14 and he posted double digit points in 7 of his 13 starts. Good quality there.

Biggest misses

RB Shane Vereen — Was pretty high on him, thought Rashad Jennings wasn't going to hold up and thought Bob McAdoo's offense was a perfect system to showcase Vereen's receiving ability but he never quite took off. Was still a decent PPR guy with 59 catches for 495 yards and 4 touchdowns but only had 61 rushing attempts and zero rushing scores which hurt his value. Not quite an RB2.

3 players you're watching in the playoffs

RB Curtis Artis Payne

RB David Johnson — Want to see if he can be consistent

QB Kirk Cousins — Could be a great QB2 next year if the offense stays in tact

3 bounce back candidates

WR Calvin Johnson

WR Randall Cobb, since J. Nelson will be back

RB DeMarco Murray

Offseason thoughts

Initial top 5 QB: Cam Newton, Tom Brady. Aaron Rodgers, Andrew Luck, Carson Palmer

RBs: Le'Veon Bell, Devonta Freeman, Todd Gurley, Jamaal Charles, Thomas Rawls

WRs: Antonio Brown, Julio Jones, Calvin Johnson, Odell Beckham Jr, Allen Robinson

TEs: Rob Gronkowski, Jordan Reed, Greg Olsen

No 1 overall pick: LeVeon Bell

 

 

 

Best playoff addition

Tim Hightower (Week 16): 27 rushes, 122 yards, 2 touchdowns, 3 catches for 47 yards. 28 fantasy points

Danny Woodhead (Week 15): 8 rushes for 10 yards, 1 touchdown, 6 catches for 50 yards, 3 touchdowns

Best waiver pickups

QB: Kirk Cousins - 264 fantasy points (Top 8 fantasy QB), Blake Bortles - 299 fantasy points (Top 4 QB)

RB: Thomas Rawls - 111 fantasy points, Jeremy Langford, 114 fantasy points

WR: Ted Ginn Jr. - 131 fantasy points (top 20 WR), Tavon Austin - 129 fantasy points (top 25 WR) Willie Snead - 106 fantasy points Stefon Diggs - 90 fantasy points, Travis Benjamin

TE: Gary Barnidge - 143 fantasy points (top 5 TE, produced on a bad Cleveland offense with both Josh McCown and Johhny Manziel, made people forget all about Jordan Cameron leaving). Benjamin Watson - 97 fantasy points (top 8 TE) Richard Rodgers - 83 fantasy points (top 10 TE)

Biggest busts

RB: C.J. Anderson, Eddie Lacy, Shane Vereen

QB: Matt Ryan

WR: Jordan Matthews

Biggest surprises

QB: Carson Palmer, Cam Newton, Ryan Fitzpatrick

RB: Devonta Freeman, Doug Martin, DeAngelo Williams, David Johnson

TE: Jordan Reed

Top fantasy performance of the year

David Johnson (40 fantasy points): 187 yards on 29 carries and 3 touchdowns, 4 catches for 42 yards in Week 15. A playoff week.

Cam Newton (41 fantasy points) vs. NYG: 340 yards 5 touchdowns plus 8 carries for 100 yards. Incredible.

Link to original photo.

Last modified on Thursday, 07 January 2016 21:28
George Banko

George Banko started talking about fantasy football shortly after graduating college. He started as an intern at FFChamps.com before working as a staff writer for Fantasy Knuckleheads. He currently contributes to the Fantasy Hot Read podcast, which is available on itunes. He also educated himself on player evaluation and is a graduate of The Scouting Academy in 2015, which is an online course run by former NFL Scout Dan Hatman. He started Fantasy Football Helpers as a blog in 2011 and converted it to a full-scale website in 2014. Read more.

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