Friday, 16 October 2015 00:00

Episode 97: Daily Fantasy Week 6

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Adrian Peterson is one of our top running backs to own in Daily Fantasy for Week 6. Adrian Peterson is one of our top running backs to own in Daily Fantasy for Week 6. Joe Bielawa/Flickr

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On Friday's Daily Fantasy podcast, the Helpers discuss key injuries to be aware of in DFS in addition to optimal lineups, sleeper picks and bargain plays. Plus bad fantasy advice.

Key injuries

Justin Forsett — Running back for Baltimore Ravens

Forsett missed practice on Thursday with a left ankle injury. He's listed as questionable for Week 6.

Though he hasn't been practicing, Friday will likely serve as the biggest tell regarding Forsett's Week 6 status. If he does practice, expect him to play against San Francisco and be highly potent against a bad San Francisco defense. The 49ers rank sixth-worst against the RB, giving up an average of 21.2 points per game.

What should you do: Stick with Forsett for now in DFS until further notice. 

Karlos Williams — Running back for Buffalo Bills

Williams is still dealing with a concussion and wasn't at practice on Thursday. Meanwhile, LeSean McCoy has been practicing again. McCoy was limited on Wednesday but he was back on the practice field on Thursday. I still wouldn't start either of these running backs, especially against the Cincinnati Bengals, a team that's in the middle of the road when it comes to defending running backs. Bills quarterback Tyrod Taylor is also banged up and I'd actually think this would be a good week to play Cincinnati's defense. Currently, E.J. Manuel is seeing first-team reps and there's a high likelihood the Bills turn the ball over in this one. The Bengals defense is only $3,000 on Draftkings right now.

What should you do: Start Cincinnati's defense in DFS.

Nelson Agholor — Wide receiver for Philadelphia Eagles

Agholor hasn't practiced all week with an ankle injury. Agholor was only targeted once last week against New Orleans, meanwhile Josh Huff was targeted five times and finished with 4 catches for 78 yards and a touchdown. It was by far the best game of the season for Huff, and the Eagles are favored at home on Monday night against the New York Giants in a shoot-out potential game. While Huff carries some bust potential due to inconsistency within the Eagles offense,The Eagles and Chip Kelly adjusted their offense last week by slowing down their pace, and the result was the best second-half performance of the season by far. Overall, we're more optimistic the Eagles can continue to put up points than in weeks past. Plus, Huff is a good flex play at $3,100.

What should you do: Throw Josh Huff into your DFS lineup at the flex spot in cash games.

Optimal lineups (cash games)

Quarterback — Tom Brady at Indianapolis

Current DraftKings value: $8,100

Why he's a good cash-game option: As we've said with cash games before (i.e. 50/50's, double ups) your lineup should be boring and steady. Brady hasn't thrown for less than two touchdowns all season long and has yet to throw an interception. We're starting to see reminents of 2007 Brady, who was completely dialed in and pissed off. The Patriots get the luxury of playing in a dome against a Colts team with question marks at quarterback due to Andrew Luck's shoulder injury. These two teams have lit up the scoreboard before and this is the highest over/under of the week according to Vegas. 

Running back — Eddie Lacy vs. San Diego

Current Draftkings value: $6,300

Why he's a good cash-game option: We've seen what countless running backs have done to San Diego's defense and Lacy shouldn't have a problem putting up his best numbers of the season in this game. While Lacy hasn't gotten off to the hottest of starts, the incredible competence of Aaron Rodgers airing the ball out has largely overshadowed the need for Lacy. While Rodgers is still (of course) the centerpiece of the offense, there should be plenty of opportunity for Lacy in this game. Lacy played well against bad defenses so far this season and is still averaging 4.1 yards per carry. He rushed for 90 yards on 18 carries against San Francisco and still leads all running backs in red zone attempts.

Running back — Adrian Peterson vs. Kansas City

Current Draftkings value: $7,600

Why he's a good cash-game option: Peterson has really flourished in Norv Turner's offense so far and comes into a good matchup against Kansas City with three touchdowns over his last two games. While his nine catches in four games aren't eye popping, his reception totals have made AP into a more dynamic fantasy option. The Vikings get the luxury of playing a Chiefs team without its best player in Jamaal Charles, and the Viking should be able to grind it out in what will likely be a low-scoring affair at home. The Vikings defense is also a decent bargain option for daily fantasy as well.

Wide receiver — Julian Edelman at Indianapolis

Current Draftkings value: $7,600

Why he's a good cash-game option: Simply put — because of the over/under. Brady and the Patriots will likely score a lot against Indianapolis and Edelman stands to benefit the most. Edelman's 51 snaps rank among the highest of any Pats' wide receiver. With the exception of Dion Lewis in Week 5, Edelman has led the team in targets each and every week. There's no reason to not start him against the Colts.

Wide receiver — Odell Beckham Jr. at Philadelphia

Current Draftkings value: $8,900

Why he's a good cash-game option: The Eagles have really struggled against the pass this season, giving up a fourth-worst 28 points per game. Beckham Jr. is coming off a solid 121-yard, seven-catch effort against the San Francisco 49ers and is likely to repeat those numbers in a game with a high over/under.

Wide receiver — Dwayne Harris at Philadelphia

Current Draftkings value: $3,100

Why he's a good cash-game option: If you're in the same boat as us and think Philadelphia's secondary is weak, then Harris is a no-brainer bargain in Week 6. Harris compiled 11 catches for 123 yards and a touchdown over this last two games. Eli Manning is starting to trust him more, targeting him eight times last week. This game against Philadelphia has high-scoring potential and could result in plenty of consistent yardage for Harris. It's unlikely he ends up with less than 60 receiving yards. He's the perfect consistent option — more so than Josh Huff. 

Tight end — Tyler Eifert at Buffalo

Current Draftkings value: $4,900

Why he's a good cash-game option: Eifert hasn't had a bad week yet and has been a target monster for the Bengals. Eifert has seen 10-plus targets twice this season and has a decent matchup against the banged-up Bills this week. Expect at least four catches for 50 yards with a higher ceiling from Eifert.

Tight end — Crockett Gilmore at San Francisco

Current Draftkings value: $2,700

Why he's a good cash-game option: Gilmore is a good red-zone option with a great matchup.

Defense — Detroit Lions vs. Chicago Bears

Current Draftkings value: $2,500

The Lions are coming off their best fantasy performance of the season with a 22-point effort against Seattle. With 18 quarterback hits over their last two games, they should be able to get after Jay Cutler and force him into some errant throws. The Bears continue to be ravaged by injury at the wide receiver spot and this could make for a low-scoring game. 

DefenseJacksonville Jaguars vs. Houston Texans

Current Draftkings value: $2,700

Why they're a good cash-game option: The Texans continue to struggle on offense and although Arian Foster is starting to get back into the swing of things, the quarterbacks on Houston are always prone to poor play. This isn't a slam dunk since Jacksonville has really struggled with takeaways this season (just one interception) and hasn't recorded a defensive touchdown so far. Even with that, the Texans are a very poor offense and should fare better at home.

 

 

 

 

 

 

Last modified on Thursday, 22 October 2015 12:05
George Banko

George Banko started talking about fantasy football shortly after graduating college. He started as an intern at FFChamps.com before working as a staff writer for Fantasy Knuckleheads. He currently contributes to the Fantasy Hot Read podcast, which is available on itunes. He also educated himself on player evaluation and is a graduate of The Scouting Academy in 2015, which is an online course run by former NFL Scout Dan Hatman. He started Fantasy Football Helpers as a blog in 2011 and converted it to a full-scale website in 2014. Read more.

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