Thursday, 17 September 2015 00:00

Episode 89: Daily Fantasy Week 2

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Episode 89: Daily Fantasy Week 2 Keith Allison/Flickr

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On Friday's edition of the Daily Fantasy Football podcast, the Helpers discuss the Baltimore Ravens and why Terrell Suggs' injury could lead to a better passing day for Oakland. They also urge you NOT to trade C.J. Anderson. They give you some optimal lineup options for cash games and also clue you in on the ownership rates to help you optimize your tournament roster in a way that will keep your lineup unique (uniqueness is key to winning in tournaments). All that, plus some mailbag questions.

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Key defensive injuries

Terrell Suggs, Baltimore Ravens linebacker (out with a torn Achilles)

What it means: Suggs wasn't only an important part of the Ravens run defense, he was also their defensive leader.

The Ravens went out and signed Jason Babin to a one-year deal. Babin is 35 years old, he struggled with the Jets last season. Only had two sacks, finished with just 14 tackles. They travel to Oakland on Sunday, and Raiders quarterback Derek Carr is practicing and looked fine according to ESPN's Bill Williamson. This could really help the Raiders put together a strong offensive performance from their receivers. Suggs had 12 sacks last season despite being 32 years old. He's been in the league since 2003. He's had a remarkable career. I think you have to consider Michael Crabtree and Amari Cooper a bit more now. Crabtree is the better bargain at just $4,100. Cooper is around $6,400. Think that's a bit expensive for Cooper given that the targets were pretty much split between him and Crabtree. I also think Crabtree will draw the weaker corner and could benefit from that.

Key returners

Michael Johnson, Cincinnati Bengals defensive end

What it means: Bengals managed only two sacks against Raiders quarterback Matt McGloin in Week 1. The addition of Johnson should improve their pass rush. This isn't the best matchup considering Philip Rivers is coming off a 404-yard performance against Detroit. He did throw 2 interceptions in that game though. Johnson has underachieved these past few seasons, but he's struggled with injuries and now he'll get a chance to see what he can do against San Diego. Currently valued at $3,000. I like that defense in a tournament play since I don't think many teams will have them.

Bad fantasy advice

Lineup construction

Quarterback — Andrew Luck

Current value: $8,200

Best suited for: Cash games, tournaments

Why you should consider him: Luck suffered some from some flukes with Frank Gore sitting out a portion of the game with cramps which led to Josh Robinson seeing meaningful time on the field. He also played perhaps the best defense in the league and while the Jets are still decent, Luck is a once-in-a-generation talent who will the luxury of playing at home in a game the Colts will want to win badly to avoid going 0-2. Sometimes you have to go with emotional decisions here. Great players bounce back after a loss, and we believe Luck is one of the greats. The Jets offense is likely to struggle at times due to an average backfield and average quarterback. The Colts could get up on the Jets early in this one. Even if T.Y. Hilton is banged up and Andre Johnson looked like he lost a step, the Colts still have Donte Moncrief, Phillip Dorsett and Dwayne Allen to throw to. Expect Luck to really go off in this one.

Running back — Mark Ingram

Current value: $5,900

Best suited for: Cash game

Why you should consider him: Ingram is a great option in cash games this week at home in a favorable matchup against a very weak Tampa Bay defense. Ingram finished with 45 total snaps which led all New Orleans running backs. While the addition of C.J. Spiller might throw a wrench into Ingram's reception totals, this is just too good a matchup to keep Ingram on the bench. Expect the Saints to use Ingram on the goal line and Spiller in the passing game.

Wide receiver Cole Beasley

Current value: $3,300

Current ownership in fanduel leagues: 2.7%.

Best suited for: Tournaments

Why you should consider him: It's no secret the Cowboys will be without wide receiver Dez Bryant and with the Philadelphia Eagles getting gashed for 298 passing yards last week. It's very likely the new cast in Philadelphia's secondary aren't much better than last year's group. Expect Dallas to throw a lot and for Beasley to make a play or two. The Eagles/Cowboys game is slated to be the highest scoring game of the week according to Las Vegas. Beasley is also likely to see an increased snap count from last week.

Tight end, Larry Donnell

Current value: $3,100

Why you should consider him: The Giants are at home in a game where the Falcons surrendered plenty of passing yards to Philadelphia last week. While fellow tight end Daniel Fells got the most yards last week, he and Donnell saw an equal four targets and Donnell got the one look in the red zone. You can go with Fells here if you want but Donnell is the more proven commodity in the red zone. He lit up the Redskins for three touchdowns last year and there's a good chance he'll find the red zone again this week because of all the factors listed.

Emotional component: The Giants are already in hot water after they gave away a game to Dallas last week. That's a taste they'll definitely want to get out of their mouths in Week 2. Eli Manning has proven a resilient quarterback over the years and he'll likely bounce back in this one. Odell Beckham Jr. and Rueben Randle could also be used here too.

Defense, Carolina Panthers vs. Houston Texans

Current value: $3,100

Why you should consider them: The Panthers get the benefit of playing a weak quarterback in Ryan Mallet at home. The game is likely to be low scoring with the Texans not offering much in the run game without Arian Foster. If the Texans get down early, expect Mallet to pass a lot more which could lead to interceptions and the all elusive pick-6. 

Don't panic on C.J. Anderson

While it might be tempting to trade Anderson after a few sub par games, we really recommend you don't. The best way we can compare Anderson's situation to is Green Bay Packers running back Eddie Lacy last season. Lacy rushed for under 50 yards in each of his first three games, but there were good reasons for his struggles. One, he suffered a concussion the Packers opener against Seattle. Two, he was handed three tough matchups in a row, playing against Seattle, Detroit and the New York Jets, teams which all featured stellar defensive lines. Eventually, Lacy got dealt a good matchup against Chicago in Week 4 and scored his first touchdown. He then proceeded to go off against Minnesota for 105 yards and two touchdowns. Now, we're not comparing the two players too much. But Anderson has faced two premier run defenses and also suffered an injury. He's also seeing plenty of targets in the passing game, it's only a matter of time before he rips off a huge game. The Broncos get Detroit on a Sunday night, which will be tough. But afterwards, they'll get the Vikings, Raiders, Browns and Packers. Vikings got gashed by Carlos Hyde, the Raiders have improved slightly but are still vulnerable, and that Packers game will likely be a shoot out where Anderson can really make noise in the receiving game.

Mailbag questions

Brandt Hinojosa: Start Aaron Rodgers or Carson Palmer? Definitely Rodgers. Seattle looking like a vulnerable defense after Week 1. They're on the road again this week in Lambeau Field. Rodgers all the way. Not thinking twice.

Robert James: Should I flex Stevie Johnson this week against Baltimore?

Zachary W. Payne: Danny Woodhead or Latavius Murray?

View original photo here.

Last modified on Friday, 18 September 2015 06:41
George Banko

George Banko started talking about fantasy football shortly after graduating college. He started as an intern at FFChamps.com before working as a staff writer for Fantasy Knuckleheads. He currently contributes to the Fantasy Hot Read podcast, which is available on itunes. He also educated himself on player evaluation and is a graduate of The Scouting Academy in 2015, which is an online course run by former NFL Scout Dan Hatman. He started Fantasy Football Helpers as a blog in 2011 and converted it to a full-scale website in 2014. Read more.

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We believe Fantasy Football success comes down to two things — opportunity and talent. You will have Fantasy Football mastered once you understand how good a player is and how good of an opportunity he has to gain yards and score touchdowns. The thing is, you'll never master Fantasy Football. But you can get pretty darn good at it when you have even a slightly better understanding of opportunity and talent than the average Joe. That's what Fantasy Football Helpers is dedicated to doing.

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