Wednesday, 11 February 2015 00:00

Dynasty Wide Receiver Rankings 1.0: Dorial Green-Beckham

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Doral Green Beckham One Handed Catch Doral Green Beckham One Handed Catch Army Recruiting Flickr Page

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Player: Dorial Green-Beckham

School: University of Oklahoma

Position: Wide Receiver

Height: 6'6"

Weight: 225 lbs

Class: Jr.

Position Rank: 4

There is no wide receiver in the 2015 wide receiver draft class that can match the god-given physical talents of Oklahoma wide receiver Dorial Green-Beckham. However, due to multiple run-in's with the law stemming from domestic violence and marijuana, there is no player that comes with more baggage off-the-field as well. Because of these issues it is possible that Green-Beckham could enter the NFL one strike away from an indefinite ban, making it entirely possible that his draft stock is in more a major hit. 

Strengths:

  • Physical Specimen
  • Speed/Size to exceed in vertical passing game
  • Special in the red zone
    • Ability to high point as good as any receiver in the class
  • Physical mismatch against smaller defensive backs
  • Physical runner in the open-field
  • Works back to football well
  • Prototypical "X" receiver
  • Not disrupted by contact
  • Very good run blocker

Weaknesses:

  • Myriad of off-the-field issues
    • Marijuana
    • Domestic Violence
  • Will have to learn to use hands better
  • Does not sink hips in his break, needs to refine route-running instead of relying on athletic ability
  • Can look disinterested
  • One strike from indefinite ban

Collegiate Career

In 2012 wide receiver Dorial Green-Beckham was on his way to stardom. The Missouri native was the number one rated high school football players according to Rivals.com, and was drawing comparisons to the likes of Lions wide receiver Calvin Johnson due to his physical presence. Green-Beckham eventually chose to stay close to home, choosing to play his college football at the University of Missouri. 

During Green-Beckham's freshman season he flashed his elite physical traits, posting a 28/395/5 line while playing in a part time role within the Tigers offense. Green-Beckham was forced to miss two games during his freshman season after being suspended from the team after arrested on drug possession charges. 

During his sophomore season it seemed Green-Beckham was starting to show signs of maturity. He had earned a starting spot as the team's "X" Receiver, the role reserved for vertical receiver. Green-Beckham finished his sophomore season with 59 receptions for 883 yards and 12 touchdowns, showing an ability to produce between the 20's as well as in the red zone. 

In 2014, trouble found Green-Beckham once against as he was arrested for possession of a controlled substance, and charged with the intent to distribute following a traffic stop. Charges were later dismissed due to the lack of evidence pointing towards Green-Beckham. This was not the last of Green-Beckham's run-ins with the law in 2014, as he was later dismissed from the Missouri football program after Green-Beckham was involved in an incident where he forced open an apartment door, and pushed an 18-year-old women down a flight of stairs. Green-Beckham was not charged in the incident after policed were unable to get the alleged victim to cooperate. 

Following Green-Beckham's dismissal from the Missouri football team he found himself in a position to transfer schools, either to the FBS where he would have to sit out a year before playing, or to the FCS where he would be eligible to play immediately. After much debate Green-Beckham transferred to the University of Oklahoma and filed for a waiver to be able to play immediately. The waiver for immediate participation in games was not allowed, but Green-Beckham was allowed to practice with the team. 

After the season was over there was some speculation that Green-Beckham would return to Norman for his senior season in order to prove that his legal problems were behind him. All the speculation was put to rest after Green-Beckham declared for the NFL draft in January. 

Fantasy Perspective

From a fantasy standpoint I feel like Green-Beckham has the long-term potential to reach the value of a receiver like Calvin Johnson and Dez Bryant. Not only does Green-Beckham possess a massive frame with the ability to sky over smaller defenders, as well the quick twitch ability that allows for explosion out of his breaks. 

For the most success at the next level I would love to see Green-Beckham go to a team with a strong support system that includes an established head coach and veteran leadership in the locker room. In my opinion some places that meet such criteria include:

  • Minnesota - Good support system with Mike Zimmer and Norv Turner, and could serve as the vertical "X" receiver they need for coach Turner's offensive system to succeed. Could step in and be their no. 1 receiving option right away. 
  • New England - Coach Belichick has long been known to take a chance on players that have red flags in their past, and get them to put that part of their life behind them. It is no secret that Brady need some more weapons to throw too, and with a weapons like Green-Beckham he could put up massive numbers.
  • Seattle - Even though Pete Carroll runs his program like a college team they have a solid support-system with Richard Sherman and Russell Wilson, and could step in and contribute immediately. 
  • Dallas - Jerry likes his toys, and with the possible departure of Dez Bryant in free agency the Cowboys could stand to upgrade the depth at the wide receiver position. 
  • Arizona - The thought of a receiver with the physical skill-set of Green-Beckham in a Bruce Arians' offensive system could put nightmares into both, defensive coordinators and your fantasy competition for the week. 

During his rookie season I would expect for Green-Beckham to have his greatest value in standard scoring leagues due to elite ability to high-point the ball in the red zone, and box out smaller defensive backs. That is not to say the Green-Beckham cannot be a player that can serve in PPR leagues, because I believe that if he is able to keep his nose clean off the field, that he has the potential to grow into one of the premier wide receivers in all of football. 

In dynasty leagues there are four receivers that I feel have the ability to come in and play the majority of the snaps on offense, Louisville's DeVante Parker, Alabama's Amari Cooper, West Virginia's Kevin White, and Dorial Green-Beckham. The only reason that I do not have Green-Beckham rated higher on the list than fourth is because of the potential off-the-field issues. 

While I would not draft Green-Beckham with anything more than a late-round flier in standard leagues right now, there is no doubt in my mind that he has the ability to produce during his rookie season. 

In my opinion there is no player in the draft that has the long-term potential that Green-Beckham possesses. Due to his combination of size and speed, Green-Beckham should be a late first round pick with the potential to be a top-5 pick depending on the situation that he lands in. 

Player Comparison: Calvin Johnson 

Anytime you mention someone in the same breath as Calvin Johnson people are going to think you are crazy. However, if you look at the two wide receivers measurable side-to-side, Johnson and Green-Beckham they are a near spitting-image. 

Calvin Johnson Player Dorial Green-Beckham*
6'5" Height 6'6"
239 lbs Weight 225 lbs
4.35 40 Yard Dash 4.44

* indicates high school measurements

From a physcial standpoint both receiver have a long frame with the ability to play above the ground. While Johnson may be slightly more explosive than Green-Beckham, both players possess elite speed for their size, and should be able dominate in a vertical passing system. 

During Johnson's time at Georgia Tech he showed one of the most well-rounded games in college football amassing over 2,900 yards and 28 touchdowns during his three seasons as a Yellow Jacket. Between the two, Johnson was the more accomplished collegiate player, although Green-Beckham was never able to show his progression to his junior season after being dismissed from the team. 

Calvin Johnson "The Catch" on Make A Gif

 

 
 
 
 
 
 

 

 

 

 

 

Calvin Johnson* Player Doral Green-Beckham**
178 Receptions 87
2,927 Receiving Yards 1,278
28 Touchdowns 17
16.4 Yards Per Catch 14.7

*Indicates 3 year career

**Indicates 2 year career

During their collegiate career's Johnson was clearly the more impactful between the two players. While the lack of production during Green-Beckham's career can largely be attributed to his off-the-field issues, there were also issues on the field that held the talented wide receiver from reaching his potential. 

While at Missouri, I believe that Green-Beckham was hindered in his development due to the lack of talent with quarterbacks James Franklin and Matt Mauk. Both quarterbacks struggle making throws down the field to receivers, therefore limiting the Tigers offense to a lot of quick hitting plays like screens, slants, and outs. 

While Green-Beckham is not on the level of Calvin Johnson at this point in career as far as his all-around game, but there are a couple of aspects of his game that I believe Green-Beckham may actually be better than Johnson. The first part is the physicality in the open field. While evaluating the tape of Green-Beckham there are several opportunities for defenders to make a tackle for a minimal gain, but due to his strength and physical attitude in the open field Green-Beckham is able to turn a minimal gain, into a positive play for the offense. 

The next part of Green-Beckham's game that I came away impressed with was his willingness to block in the running game. Most receivers in the NFL will do there best to get in the way of defenders, but Green-Beckham looks to deliver a blow while blocking. Even though his blocking will not show up in the box score, if Green-Beckham is able to show that he can handle the blocking responsibilities he should see his workload increase. 

At this stage in their career Calvin Johnson is far and away the more "complete" receiver than Green-Beckham. However, due to the similarities in their physical skill-set, I believe that Dorial Green-Beckham has the ability to reach Johnson's caliber if he is able to stay out of trouble at the next level. 

Draft Projection:

Projecting where Dorial-Green Beckham is going to land in the upcoming draft is a lot like playing a game of russian roulette. While he has the physical skill-set to dominate the NFL game there is plenty of baggae that comes with him. Due to the off-the-field issues that I outlined earlier there is the possibility that Green-Beckham could enter the league just one incident away from an indefinite ban.

Due to the recent issues with Browns receiver Josh Gordon and his inability to stay clean off-the-field, the thought is that Green-Beckham could be in for a big draft-day side, despite possessing the talent of a first-round pick. I tend to agree with this line of thinking, as teams do not want to invest a luxury pick on a player that could be one incident from a year long suspension. 

As far as the best fit for Green-Beckham's skill-set I would like to see him go to a system that emphasizes the vertical passing game. Teams such as Minnesota, Arizona, and Baltimore are teams that immediately come to mind. Out of those three, I feel Green-Beckham would have the opportunity to make the greatest impact in Minnesota and Arizona. 

I know that I have thrown Minnesota out there as a possible destination for our top receivers, and that is due to the lack of young talent that they have at the position. Cordarrelle Patterson has failed to develop the way that the organization has hoped at this point, and aside from Charles Johnson there is no player on the roster that has the ability to be the focal point of a team's passing game. If Minnesota were to draft Green-Beckham I believe that he would step in and immediately become the focal point of Norv Turner's passing game. 

With the possible departure of veteran wide receiver Larry Fitzgerald there is the potential need for someone to fill his shoes. While the team is reportedly very high on second year wide receiver John Brown, he does not possess the natural talent that Green-Beckham does. According to Pro Football Focus, Indianapolis Colts receiver led the league in throws 20+ yards down the field with 88 attempts. However, if you look at the Cardinals statistics at an individual basis, they actually threw the ball 20+ yards more than the Colts did. Between Carson Palmer, Ryan Lindley, Drew Stanton, and Logan Thomas, the Cardinals threw the ball 20 or more yards down the field 91 times, even with the lack of talent at the quarterback position behind Palmer. 

When draft day rolls around I expect Green-Beckham to be waiting to hear his name called for longer than he anticipates. Due to his public off-the-field issues and the possibility of being one strike away from an indefinite suspension, I expect Green-Beckham to be drafted on Day 2 of the draft. 

Grade: First Round Talent, UDFA red flags

Photo Courtesy of Army Recruiting Flickr Page

Want to talk NFL draft, fantasy football, or just the NFL in general? You can contact me on Twitter @Joshmensch27 or e-mail me at This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.

Last modified on Wednesday, 11 February 2015 15:31

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