Scott Sergent stops by to talk guys you might not want to forget come your 2013 fantasy draft.
Scott Sergent 6-6-13-Click on Scott’s name to left to stream pod
RB Ahmad Bradshaw
I think this guy was/is probably the most talented free agent left on the market, and current reports indicate he’s about to sign with the Indianapolis Colts. Think he is in Indianapolis as of right now. If the deal does in fact go down. This guy is stepping into a perfect situation to produce. The Colts backfield is currently weak and Bradshaw could easily step in and take over the No. 1 spot. The Colts are a young, up-and-coming talented offense with a fantastic quarterback. At 27 years old, Bradshaw still has a lot left in the tank and could easily make an impact in the offense.
He quietly had a very solid season last year, rushing for over 1,000 yards and catching for 300, despite battling several injuries and later on a knee injury . He’s a very tough player for his size, he plays well hurt and his career 4.6 yards per carry average over six seasons is a testament of that. He probably won’t be the feature back, since Ballard is younger, played well for the Colts last season and seems to be a future part of that team.
But Bradshaw is going to be a great addition because his explosiveness and elusiveness gives the Colts something that they lack. Indy ranked toward the back of the pack in both rushing yards per game and rushing touchdowns, actually Andrew Luck led them in rushing touchdowns last season with 5, so Bradshaw, who’s always been good at legging out tough yardage, will get them more scores on the ground.
A few more details on why Bradshaw is badly needed and will perform well for the Colts. The Colts were stuffed on 25% of their runs last year, one of the worst percentages in the NFL. Bradshaw will be able to use his elusiveness as a runner to create yards by himself, something that Vick Ballard can’t do. Ballard is more of a power runner. And like I said, this is all on a Colts team that’s quietly building a very potent offense around a fantastic quarterback in Andrew Luck.
TE Brandon Myers
The revolving door of tight end production has never ceased for the Giants, despite not having the most talented players at the position. Ever since they let go of Jeremy Shockey back in 2008, they got good mileage out of Kevin Boss, Jake Ballard, and Martellus Bennett.
Now, they bring in a guy who started to become a blip on the waiver wire radar with the Raiders last season and quietly had a great year with 79 catches for 806 yards and 4 touchdowns. Myers best game came against the Cleveland Browns in 2012, where he caught 14 of 15 passes thrown his way for 130 yards and a score. He’s a sure-handed guy (for example, in his first three games in 2012 he caught all 15 passes thrown his way) and if you need some backup as to how the Giants’ tight ends have fared in Coughlin’s offense, check out these numbers from past tight ends.
2009: Kevin Boss: 42 receptions, 567 yards, 5 touchdowns
2010: Kevin Boss: 35 receptions, 531 yards, 5 touchdowns
2011: Jake Ballard: 38 receptions, 604 yards, 4 touchdowns
2012: Martellus Bennett: 55 receptions, 626 yards, 5 touchdowns
While Myers may not be as athletic as Bennett was, he makes up for it with his Velcro hands. He had a 78 percent catch rate last season, which was the best in the NFL for tight ends with at least 50 targets. In an offense where Eli Manning likes to throw to tight ends in the red zone, expect Myers to catch at least 6-8 touchdowns and rack up 500-700 passing yards.
While it’s not clear he’ll get the kind of reception numbers he did last season (the Giants have more weapons at wide receiver to spread the ball around and don’t throw the ball nearly as much as the Carson Palmer-led Raiders did, which Myers also benefited from since the Raiders were coming from behind in a lot of those games.
One drawback on Myers is he’s not a good blocker, but he’s a lock as a solid No. 2 tight end in most 12-team leagues. Keep in mind the tight end pool was not very deep last year, so any time you can get some depth at that position is always a good thing.
WR Alshon Jefferey
The Bears have been looking for a reliable No. 2 receiver ever since they landed Brandon Marshall. With Knox retiring and the Devin Hester project deemed a bust, , Jeffery is on deck as the most likely complement to Marshall.
He battled a few injuries during his rookie year, but started to flash signs of playmaking ability toward the end of 2012. In the Bears final two games, he was targeted 11 times and caught five passes for 111 of his total 367 yards on the season. It’s always a good fantasy sign when a young player finishes the year off strong.
At 6’3, 215 lbs, Jeffery is load on the outside and with a year of experience under his belt, should instill confidence in Jay Cutler to throw his way more (Jefferey only averaged 4.8 targets a game last season). His biggest strength is his size and ball skills, he’s able to go up and locate the ball in traffic and come down with it, something that receivers make great use out of in the red zone on over the shoulder routes.
Jeffery is now more motivated than ever following a lackluster rookie campaign. In February, he checked in to one of Marshall’s private training facilities in Florida. With the help of a nutritionist, several trainers, and hard work, Jeffery Jeffery cut his weight down from 225 to 219 lbs. Marshall is clearly having a positive effect on him, and Jeffery is the clear-cut No. 2 guy heading into this season barring any significant offseason acquisitions or draft moves.
Defense: Dallas Cowboys
One name: Monte Kiffin. Fantasy defenses make their money off turnovers, not so much yards allowed per game. One of the staples of Kiffin’s defenses with the Buccaneers teams he coached in the 90s and the Bears defense last year has been just that, turnoevers. The 2012 Bears defense turned in one of the best fantasy seasons of all time last year (the only other great defense I could think of that rivaled that was the 2006 Ravens). Kiffin’s defense will allow the Cowboys to be more aggressive and take risks, now, whether or not that will translate to actual turnovers is still a question, and will probably take a little time, but it’s hard to ignore the fact that Kiffin’s last defenses he’s coached registered 35 to 40 turnovers each.
The Cowboys had 16 turnovers last year.
So let’s break it down a little bit. The Cowboys defense is anchored by DeMarcus Ware, who will be moving from linebacker in the 3-4 to defensive end. Ware said in a story by the Dallas Telegram earlier last week that the new defense will allow him to think less and do what he does best, which is rush the quarterback. They have another solid defensive end in Anthony Spencer, a solid defensive end who had 11 sacks last season and a guy the Cowboys managed to resign despite almost having to let him go.
The secondary is rife with playmakers. They have the emerging Morris Claiborne coming into his second season, has packed on six pounds of muscle in the offseason and is looking to gain more by the time the 2013 season starts. He’s got a year under his belt and should be less in his head and more reactionary when the ball is thrown his way (he had only 1 interception last season keep in mind).
Opposite corner Brandon Carr led the team in picks last season, so he could also cash-in a bit more in this defense.
Strong safety Barry Church, was on his way to making a name for himself before he went down. They also have a rookie free safety in Matt Johnson who’s been drawing some hype. I don’t think the Cowboys defense will be great right out of the gate, since they’ll have some growing pains under this new scheme, but they have the talent to create turnovers and every year we see a team spike up their defensive numbers and I think Dallas has as good a shot as any to do that in 2013.